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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. Finally a 500 track that doesn't skirt us North. Really hope to see this continue on future runs.
  2. Absolutely. Rolling of the snow/no snow dice hasn't worked for us this year so I'm very enthusiastic about rolling the rain/snow dice instead.
  3. LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --ANOTHER GNRLY SUNNY DAY IS XPCTD ON SUNDAY...BUT TEMPS WL STRUGGLE TO EXCEED 30 E OF I-95...IN THE 20S ELSEWHERE. THIS HAS BEEN A WINTER WHERE THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BEEN XTRMLY CHAOTIC...AND THE FCST HAS HAD A FAIR DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY. THE WORKWEEK AHEAD LOOKS TO KEEP THAT TREND ALIVE. DIFFERENCES IN TIMING/POSN BTWN THE XTND MDLS ADD TO THAT UNCERTAINTY. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF SHOW HIGH PRES MOVG OVR NRN NEW ENGLAND TUE AND A DAMMING PRES WEDGE DVLPG E OF THE APLCHNS. THIS WOULD LEAD TO XTNSV CLD CVR TUE/WED. W/ DAMMING SOMETIMES LGT DZ/FZDZ DVLPS...OTHER TIMES NOT. ATTM WE ARE FCSTG CHC SN FOR TUE. FOR NOW WE`LL LV THE P-TYPE AS THIS...BUT AS THE DATE DRAWS CLOSER...AND IF THE DAMMING WEDGE STILL LOOKS TO DVLP...THIS MAY NEED TO BE CHGD. BY WED MRNG ECMWF SHOWS A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVR VA. GFS IS SLOWER W/ THE DVLPMNT...AND MOVES THE LOW TO A POSN E OF ORF WED NGT. GNRLY SPEAKING I`D SAY THE LATTER IS A BETTER POSITION...BUT IT IS ALSO 130 HRS AWAY FM POTENTIALLY OCCURING...AND I DON`T WANT TO MOVE TOO QUICKLY IN A MORE PESSIMISTIC DIRECTION. WE`VE GOT SVRL DAYS TO WATCH HOW THIS DVLPS.-- End Changed Discussion --
  4. Yes I did! Sorry I'm new at this trying to learn as I go.
  5. GFS looks really close at 114. Nicer precip trying to make its way to DC. PV comin through Texas almost makes it time.
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