TradeWinds
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Everything posted by TradeWinds
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I think Orlando would disagree with that, unless you're talking homes demolished.
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I'm surprised Taylor County building codes are only to withstand 130 mph gusts let alone sustained winds. I'm sure many are built above standards but older homes will be tested.
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Speed is what might make the difference. I know when Hurricane Charley zipped across FL, Orlando had its highest gust ever at 108 amd that was pretty far from landfall. What surprised me is FL building codes are only to 130ish where this may landfall. I would think Valdosta older buildings/roofs could see high damage if hurricane force winds are sustained.
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Was looking at some obs in the band over St Pete. Not bad. Almost tropical storm force winds.
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Don't disagree on current consensus but GFS was not the outlier for Ian. UK and Euro were mostly the outliers.
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Looks like tighter clusters mostly but many of the more western tracks show the cane moving NNW starting now or even should have by now. Time will tell.
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Some clarification from NWS Melbourne
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What you describe is true of every tropical storm. Very rarely do rated winds verify, at least consistently.
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At least 2 people died in Orlando related to electrocution of a fallen power line.
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Orange County looked to peak at several hours of sustained TS (35-38 mph) with gusts to mid 50s. I heard transformers popping this morning.
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Here are some reported gusts. I believe cocoa had several 70+ mph gusts. The 100 was at 120 ft elevation as has been reported.
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A little close off and tightening just before landfall. Impressive for mid Nov.
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1935 - Miami (Nov 4) 1985 - Kate (Cat 2 into Panhandle Nov 21)
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Quite impressive actually for the latest FL east coast landfall in recorded history.
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It's like an optical illusion especially with wider eyes. They also use a composite radar I suppose. Even on radarscope, you can tell on a 20 frame loop it is WNW. Check out this loop and you'll see jogs but a general WNW. https://twitter.com/TMainolfiWESH/status/1590518516167368704?t=enBwT-KL08LxbScN89GQ9w&s=19
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Interesting official forecast for Orlando just increased wind forecast at 7:30 PM update to peak 55-65 with gusts to 80. Don't see that verifying but we'll know more as reports start further south.
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A doorbell video from Abaco. Looks like what you would expect from a TS. https://twitter.com/NashWX/status/1590433968822026240?t=OTtGHJ03ch35aw3Ipsr-fQ&s=19
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A storm pic from Coopers Town as Nicole passed. https://twitter.com/Tribune242/status/1590431132113580032?t=IjG5Oh36pRIpJn_xnRaCiQ&s=19
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
TradeWinds replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
GEFS now showing some earlier development compared to 24 hrs ago.
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
TradeWinds replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
People also choose to build and live in hurricane prone areas, just as they choose to live in tornado alley or on a fault line. People also choose to evacuate or not. Ft Myers was in the cone the entire time. I'm sorry for their loss but personal decisions are real. -
Yes, a lot of people embarrassed themselves here. Also a shout out to the people that kept sharing the tweet about how well the GFS did. Our local met in Orlando actually lol'd last night when he mentioned the GFS.
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Orlando got hit hard. I received 14.13", almost 6" just in that band last night between midnight and 3 AM. Had to help neighbors as water entered their homes. The flooding in Orlando is ridiculous. We are now pushing 12 hours of tropical storm force winds and gusts to 60. Ian was a beast in FL.
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Absolutely ripping in southern part of Orange County near MCO.
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Our local mets explained why Orlando to Daytona is experiencing some of the highest winds this evening. Daytona had a 73 mph gust. The cold front is causing an intrusion of cold air. As the cold air sinks, it is efficient at bringing down the winds aloft. The rain is helping too.
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This convergence zone over Orlando is producing high rain rates and wind. MCO last hour is 37 sustained and 60+ gusts. I'm seeing lightning and hearing thunder.
