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Bob Chill

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Everything posted by Bob Chill

  1. Bob Chill
  2. Bob Chill
    Took the dog out to upper rock creek near the Ag center earlier. What a peaceful and beautiful place to walk. Not a soul out there today.
  3. Bob Chill
    Big storms are the apex of this game but they're too rare to base my satisfaction on. When a real chance shows up I go ape shit like anyone. But the odds are low and the breaks in between are too long. I don't like living my life feeling like I'm missing anything and I enjoy living in the moment more than anything. There were a ton of fun moments over the last week. What a blast
  4. Bob Chill
    Winter appeal and stats are 2 different things. On paper, stats so far look entirely underwhelming. But the appeal of a week of sub freezing snowpacked yards, back to back events, and having them both overperform short range will make this winter for me. I'll remember this week until death or dementia lol
  5. Bob Chill
    4.7" with some compaction. If I knew what I was doing it would prob be 5 lol. Tied with last event. Wow.
  6. Bob Chill
    Popcorn look to radar coming in from WV. Looks light but that look is what I've been expecting. Maybe some brief heavies pop with that stuff.
  7. Bob Chill
    It's a decent shortwave but not enough lift to maximize. We'll see what happens. Current shield is uniform. Stuff rolling in from WV will be a test
  8. Bob Chill
    Interesting radar loop off just off OC. Seems like a meso low. Flow turned east just north of it. Maybe it bombs to 989 before lunch https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DOX-N0B-0-24-100-usa-rad
  9. Bob Chill
    Would like to see some yellow speckles start to pop on radar at some point. Better lift happening now but still nothing exciting yet.
  10. Bob Chill
    A little compaction but a clean 4" so far. Another inch and lwx bullmap verifies in my yard. Picking back up. Band rollin thru should get me to 4.5" if it lasts an hour
  11. Bob Chill
    Just let this one play out and skip models. Upper level stuff is a real time thing. Models are much better at upglide/fronto. When it comes to snowfall from upper level dynamics, there are usually localized areas of surprise. Models rarely nail that. This isn't a strong system but it's drawn out. We'll see how it goes.
  12. Bob Chill
    The tail on the next band is south of Manassas. Looks more like a blob than a band now. Not seeing subsidence problems. Once it turns back on it should last a while.... famous last words...
  13. Bob Chill
    Pretty lucky to have the waa piece come in at the coldest part of the night then upper level cold stuff during the day. Ratios may end up over 10:1 for both parts.
  14. Bob Chill
    Northern tier posting prob gonna light up next couple hours. Lookin good for them for a while
  15. Bob Chill
    Uh oh.... sun is breaking out Wife makes stained glass. I love this piece in our picture window. Especially when cloudy lol. Backyard lookin like CO lol
  16. Bob Chill
    Bubbling up overhead in Moco. Filling in the gap with the stuff rotating from the west. Everything is breaking right so far. Need the shield to stay intact to hit high end totals. Lulls will compact.
  17. Bob Chill
    I need an inch and a half to tie last storm. Seems like a lock to me unless things unwind.
  18. Bob Chill
  19. Bob Chill
    Somewhere around 3.1" @ 7am. My most optimistic thoughts didn't include that lol
  20. Bob Chill
    I'm super curious to how the next few hours play out. Will the shield stay intact with embedded bands of mod snow or will it be pulses with subsidence between bands? You're the eyes for the first pivot bands
  21. Bob Chill
    Looks like I66 north should keep going with no shutoff or legit lull. Filling in efficiently.
  22. Bob Chill
    Base velocity scan is a good tool for watching the pivot. Pretty clear what's going on to our west. Lull will be minimal north of 66 if any real lull at all. Snow won't be steady later this AM thru PM but a hour or 2 lull prob not happenin for most https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0G-1-24-100-usa-rad
  23. Bob Chill
    Band forming from HGR down 81 to OKV. Interested to see how they perform. WAA was a boom. If the upper level stuff is a boom too it will be quite a scene at times today.
  24. Bob Chill
    No model had me anywhere near 3" b4 7am. This is sick
  25. Bob Chill
    You can see the bands to the NW orienting in a sw-ne alignment. Those should build and pivot.
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