Picard

It got quite threatening looking up here in the afternoon and evening yesterday. Nothing, not even a drip. Everything was well east.

I'm half that at 1.20 for the month. We only got 0.08" out of everything yesterday and this morning. What I have noticed lately is the stubborn banding and pretty sharp cutoffs. In that wherever the banding starts to set up, that's who's getting it, and it's not wavering much. Things always seem to train northeast over the same spots. I'd love to see a study of summer thunderstorm precipitation patterns in this area because it always seems to be two distinct areas. The most common is over the Delaware Water Gap and places to the north and west, and the other, not as frequent area is to the south and east, starting well south of Philly and training up and eventually off shore towards Long Island. The drought monitor shows this, and I'll be curious to see how it changes next week. Perhaps just a short term blip, or something longer term due to climate and topography. But it's definately a thing.

0.01". Yeah, I don't know about anything else here. The radar over where we would need the development remains largely blank.

We need the southern part to develop right. It did the other night. These set ups are always a bit iffy to me, I always tell people to watch for things popping up, but not to plan their day around it.

Some stuff may be developing, or develop later, but isn't what we are currently seeing already quite a bit north of the models?

1.12" in the tube last night with round one around 6:30 and again around 10:30. Lots of thunder and flashes too. Nice over-performance even though areas around got a lot more. Better yet that it came in two waves and not all at once. I'll take it.

We'll see how the storms wax and wane as they trickle east. But I'd bet areas just 20-30 miles west and north of here get twice the summer rainfall that I do with these recent patterns.

0.32" in Sparta. Lots of rumbles of thunder. It looked more impressive on radar than in person. But I'll take it.

Sussex Airport may only record a trace of rain for the entire month of August? If the trend continues, which it has a chance to, virtually all of New England sees their driest August on record?

It has a full on dry season vibe to it out there, and it doesn't look to change anytime within the next several days. Awesome weather, as long as you can find some shade.

Light rain/drizzle. Just a trace. Mostly cloudy all day and kinda gloomy. The lawn is a browned out wasteland in many spots here. I suspect there will be some new D0 expansion when the new drought map drops tomorrow.

It's likely correct. I'm in Sparta. There were two heavy cells that ran 15 miles to my north earlier, producing the nearly 2" total you see. Then other lines to the south were also heavy, with plenty of dead zones in between. I haven't even reached two tenths yet and may not.

Doubtful. Aside from a few light sprinkles, it's over for anyone west of New England and maybe central/eastern Long Island.

0.13" and slowly counting. Looks like the event is winding down. That stuff in PA probably won't do much later.

0.00" Nothing is getting here and it won't at this point. Stiff breeze and running 68-69 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Feels quite raw actually and a great day for backyard football. Sucks for the flood prone areas again. I'd happy take an inch off your hands. As it stands, I'll be out watering like crazy tonight since I held off last night given the prediction.

It almost feels like a front just crashed through here. It's clearing up, breezy, and I'm down to 69 from a high of 81 and the dewpoint has also dropped from 72 to 64.

My area is set to be split again. I've got a stiff breeze and cloudy skies but nada is heading this way at the moment, unless more pops along a favorable line. I could play basketball on the front lawn right now.

I'm OK with a couple of degrees. Things could adapt, and there are indeed benefits for some. Beyond that though, I think it introduces more problems, some of which are already unfolding like melting glaciers, rising seas, and a positive feedback loop that keeps it all going. Regarding your comment on stopping driving cars - not going to happen. I am waiting for a day when I could buy a relatively inexpensive independently duel powered vehicle, and I'm in. In other words, the gasoline engine is ready to fire up if I run out of battery. And eventually, I think, among other problems, we're going to be running into problems of sourcing EV batteries, and disposal of spent batteries. Cars by themselves are only part of the issue. It's also the sheer demand of goods and services in this country, as well as our throw away culture. By a TV, don't like it in a year, or want a better one, or some minor glitch prevents it from working properly? No problem, just toss it and by a new one.

Interesting. That guidance shows a gap over my area again. I've only picked up about 0.4" of rain in the past 3+weeks and the lawns are all brown. I've watched it go around us, mostly to the north, and a couple to the south. To the north again this morning.

I can't imagine lows bottoming in the 30s around here in July as a relatively normal thing. Global warming is definitely in play here, but I wonder if it's also a heat island affect, even though we are further from the city areas, how much of an affect have we seen? Also airborne pollutants trapping heat and not allowing it to radiate off (aside from CO2) And higher dewpoints would likely correlate with less radiational cooling.

Over the Newton/Sparta area earlier, we had two distinct cloud formations that were trying to develop something. I even ran through a brief shower just outside of Newton, heading towards Sparta around 4:45. Just barley enough for one or two swipes with the windshield wipers. There was a tiny blip on radar and the only one around for hundreds of miles.

There was a narrow path of 75+ dewpoints today in and around the Hillsborough area and surrounding towns. Otherwise, not as awful as it's been in other places up here.

I don't quite understand this either. Take an example of Andover-Aeroflex Airport, which is just a quick skip away from me. They only report at :54 past the hour. Sussex airport is :53 past the hour and sometimes reports the whole degree and sometimes to the tenths of a degree without rhyme or reason. Morristown Airport seems all over the place with it's timestaps. Furthermore, they seem to round off to the nearest whole °C which is not precise. Most odd of all, Andover-Aeroflex has also recorded 4 inches of rain in the past 3 days according to their stream, which is simply false. Seems like these NWS data feeds are elementary at best, which is inexcusable in 2025. If I were running some kind of study or analysis, this data would be unreliable in a lot of cases. It seems like something C students would turn in as part of a middle school science project.

Some interesting numbers from the NOAA/NWS weather calculator pages, and assuming a sea level pressure of 30" Temp 95F, RH 20% = Dewpoint of 48 and associated Heat Index of 91.5F Temp 95F, RH 55% = Dewpoint of 76 and associated Heat Index of 109F Also, at high temperatures, relatively small jumps in the RH% value can make a BIG difference in the comfort level.

Agreed. We had our humid days, but never to this extent. And there is definitely a big difference when the dewpoint is 70 vs. 78. I always found 70ish tolerable. I'm going to wager a guess that the actual amount of moisture in the air grows exponentially as the dewpoint value increases (as opposed to linear growth which wouldn't have as dramatic an effect).