The next big weekly snowstorm for MSP is on the 12z Euro for next Friday. Right now it shows about 15” imby. Let’s see how much that number gets whittled down between now and then. .
Radar doesn’t look all that impressive but it’s actually been coming down pretty good around MSP. It’s wet snow so it hasn’t added up to much but it has made the roads a nightmare. .
Lol it’s the same conversation though. I digress. This has gotten way too off topic and I don’t need people to complain about it like they did about Dallas. .
But where do you draw the line? By that logic you could argue there is no need to issue tornado, severe thunderstorm, or flash flood watches or warnings because everyone could just get this information from other sources. .
I guarantee you the public doesn’t pay as much attention to a WWA vs WSWS as you think they do. I am willing to bet a lot of money most people had no idea it went advisory then warning, and most of them probably wouldn’t care even if they did know. .
It’s looking like a lot of the winter storm watch may not end up seeing winter storm warning criteria snow. The NAM and Nest barely want to give us WWA level snow amounts [emoji23] this storm went to crap quickly. .
The Euro, Nam, and Nest all really want to make this almost a non-event for MSP. Maybe 2-4” for me on the north side but if this trend continues we may not even get that. CAMs should be interesting. .
If it makes anyone feel better, we will probably be paying for it soon. How much do you want to bet Minnesota will be stuck on the cold side of the warm front this spring while the rest of you get to enjoy the warm sector? Or it might just snow here until May. That’s also a possibility. .
Models are painting a big dry slot for eastern and central MN. Nam is trending back north. Should be interesting to see if the globals start trending north too. That’ll be about the only way we get any significant amounts from this system. No matter what it looks like somewhere on the north side will get really screwed by that dryslot. .
I’m not overly excited. Snow amounts are trending lower across the board. The Euro has a mid tier WWA type snowstorm. Gfs and nam are borderline warning amounts from what I’ve seen the last couple runs. .
Gfs says we have another shot at breaking the all time snowstorm record as well as the all time season record. It might just snow until summer up here at this rate. .
Looks like the Euro is trending south towards the GFS solution which would put us in the heavier snow. Still could change but it seems like the NAM is the outlier right now. FWIW the GEFS mean snow also indicates its members favor the deterministic GFS solution. .
Nam and gfs are polar opposites for MSP for Monday. Gfs gives us snow and nam gives us rain. Euro is somewhere in between. Which one will be right? Who tf knows any more. .