Winterweatherlover
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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover
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Most showing 0.3-0.5 for the immediate metro area, would be enough to end the streak.
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May end tonight. Stay tuned.
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It was overdone but RGEM seemed to be kind of right again as now almost all models have some light snow in our region tonight.
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Seems to me like some kind of ull tonight on NAM/hrrr. Given the tracks of those have been horrible all winter it would be nice to benefit from one for once.
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NAM has a random blob of snow tonight for our area, not even sure what it’s from but I’d take it.
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Going to make a world of a difference in the winter.
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These little surprise snow events are always the best.
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Wonder if they can get to 0.1?
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Hopefully the cold push is delayed and the wave Friday is able to push a little more north. Otherwise we’ll get blanked it seems.
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https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct-imp&rh=2023013012&fh=120&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc= Jeeze
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Ride a boat and see some snow on Saturday https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&rh=2023013012&fh=120
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None of the OP runs of any model have anything on Wed currently. I get something could still develop but I'm not feeling too optimistic about anything on Wed given we are two days out.
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I agree the officiating overall was problematic but if that last play was a clear penalty I don’t see why let it go? Then that’s almost giving officials more power to use discretion to not call penalties due to game situation as opposed to follow the rules.
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Wave 1 seems done, now we track wave 2 to see if it trends north. If not the chances of a snowless winter increase.
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Cmc south, not over as one of the waves could trend but we may get blanked this week.
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Yea outside of the 18z run south tick it’s been pretty consistently showing something. At this point it’s under 72 hours so either the RGEM or the other models gotta cave soon.
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Agree not that we can control it anyway but I am not really rooting for this.
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Especially with the cold coming over the weekend having even a few inches on the ground for a few days would really be nicer than having brutally cold and nothing.
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977 is pretty extreme, maybe I'm naive but I think if it was really that strong on a perfect track we'd flip to snow.
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Euro not on board for Tue night-Wed. Only the RGEM/CMC have it but right now I trust those models more than any others so hopefully they don't let us down.
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So far out I wasn't even going to bother posting but that would be the icing on the cake for this winter to have a 977 low in that spot and it's pouring rain.
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CMC has it too. Let’s hope the Canadian models are right this time around.
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RGEM consistent showing snow Tue night-Wed morning.
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Too bad the cold air has departed but a low as strong as depicted could produce its own cold air so it would depend on the track.
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In this case it has some support from the RGEM https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&rh=2023012900&fh=84
