Winterweatherlover
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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover
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Euro not on board for Tue night-Wed. Only the RGEM/CMC have it but right now I trust those models more than any others so hopefully they don't let us down.
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So far out I wasn't even going to bother posting but that would be the icing on the cake for this winter to have a 977 low in that spot and it's pouring rain.
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CMC has it too. Let’s hope the Canadian models are right this time around.
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RGEM consistent showing snow Tue night-Wed morning.
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Too bad the cold air has departed but a low as strong as depicted could produce its own cold air so it would depend on the track.
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In this case it has some support from the RGEM https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&rh=2023012900&fh=84
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Would be pretty incredible if we hit single digits over the weekend and couldn’t even get front end snow on Monday (scenario gfs is showing) but that would be so winter 2022-2023.
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I sorta agree with snowgoose it’s hard to see us getting nothing in the next 10 days but if it ends up like 0.1 inches it would be pathetic.
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Mid week seems like a max 1-3 inch type event if it ends up far enough north to hit us and not too far north that we end up with mix/rain. Seems the chance for a big one would be as the pattern is changing (around 2/6-2/7) but right now it already looks like the cold is gone by then.
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Yea it's probably the best chance we've had but agree that's not saying much. Hopefully the non gfs models can tick north a bit.
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Short lived cold with no snow on the ground unfortunately doesn't excite me very much. If we even got a few inches mid week the cold would be more worth it.
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Both the GFS and Euro made big jumps north for Wednesday night event on their latest runs, we needed a jump north but it almost jumped too much too fast for me to feel comfortable. Euro also got quite cold late next week but only lasts a very short time.
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Oy it does feel a little bit like here we go again. At least this time there is some cold air in place so we’ll see.
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The way the winter is going I’d take this run. Might be the best case scenario even though in a normal winter it’s not exciting.
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12z euro unleashes the artic next weekend
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Euro is way north for next week.
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Can we get through next week before writing off all winter? I know the 12z models don’t have anything but next week is still the best potential we’ve had.
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While the above is my first instinct too I wouldn’t necessarily use the rest of the winter as a guideline to forecast next week. We haven’t really had the type of cold airmass we’ll have next week so everything could get squashed south.
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CMC trends to GFS with the storm next weekend, surpressed to the south. Still a lonnnng way to go but would not surprise me at all if we somehow find a way to get rain from one storm and miss another.
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Meanwhile the CMC has rain on Wed with ice just north of the city.
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I mean it's not the worst place to live for snow or we'd get less than DC...... lol I agree NYC/LI is pretty heavily dependent on coastals though.
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I'm not sure if I'd be more upset with another cutter or a southern slider. I'm sick and tired of cutters but getting blanked while places to the south get snow also feels pretty bad.
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This is the best chance but far from a given. Need that southeast ridge to pump a bit but not too hard lol.
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So the GGEM is congrats Great Lakes Region The Euro is congrats us The GFS is congrats Southern Virginia and North Carolina Next weeks storm should be interesting.
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Agree I think 49ers are the most complete team in football but we’ve never seen Purdy in a spot like this on the road, I wouldn’t touch either of the games this weekend from a betting standpoint.
