Winterweatherlover
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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover
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Doesn't get more threading the needle than this for most of the subforum. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_024h-imp&rh=2023011018&fh=225&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
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It's definitely a long shot but rather too far east than too far west at this range.
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Seems we haven't had a much snowier season in several winters now but I guess its balancing out for the early 2010s.
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Yea the same pattern in February should be ok as the atlantic would be colder. I'm not saying big snow but at least should be more interesting.
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Was December really that bad though? Verbatim snow in NYC was low but the pattern wasn't too bad, just some near misses.
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Looks like CMC lost the backend wave Sunday-Monday, I'm not surprised.
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Amazing how far into the Canada the rain gets.
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Its got a chance but would be extremely thread the needle and would probably favor the catskills to New England region. I don't really care that the gfs doesn't show it but I'd think it's more of a real threat if the other models hold onto it 24 hours from now.
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I agree still two months left of meterological winter, it will snow at some point.
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December wasn't that bad of a pattern, just a lot of bad luck near the coast but places in the NW parts of the subforum did decently.
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I cant remember a winter where we've gone this many weeks without any real threat and nothing on the horizon anytime soon. At least the models are getting better I guess at not getting our hopes up.
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Need a sub 1000 low tracking to the southeast and ideally a high in place (although not absolutely essential in January).
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Its a long shot for sure especially I95 corridor and points southeast.
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The 12Z CMC is further SE than the 12z GFS.
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Precip type doesn't really matter this far out but it's rain to snow verbatim for the city. Also as another poster said would be snow for some of subforum at least, but it's not far off from snow to the coast. I don't want to overanalyze though because the gfs is the only model that even has a storm on 1/6 but my point is we are seeing chances within 10 days and not just non stop torch.
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GFS with a snow threat 1/6 CMC with a snow threat 1/9 As I said two days ago the pattern doesn't look that horrendous for January after the middle of this week.
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Wow urban heating at its finest, what storm was that?
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Considering it only hit 70 in January 3 times in the 1900s, if it hit 70 twice in three years that would be kind of scary.
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Thats borderline ok for snow chances in NYC in January and def ok for snow chances north and west.
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At this point of life I'd rather live somewhere that never hits 0 or 70. I don't like extreme temps. Guess in an ideal world I should move to San Francisco lol but then they never get snow.
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Its fine, often times these type of extremes lead to big storms so the warmer it is this weekend the more I think next weekend has a chance lol.
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Not sure if this post was in reference to snow chances or just temps but we don't really major cold to snow chances in January, just close to average.
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After the extreme cold earlier in the week I'll take it. Rather comfortable than cold and dry at this point of my life. Just hope it doesn't get too warm.
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Its similar in the summer heatwaves too, the most drastic differences between city and surrounding at night seem to be during the more extreme weather especially warmth.
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People already canceling winter and yet there are storm threats as soon as next weekend. I honestly still wouldn't expect anything until after mid January but winter isn't over.
