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Winterweatherlover

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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover

  1. At this point of life I'd rather live somewhere that never hits 0 or 70. I don't like extreme temps. Guess in an ideal world I should move to San Francisco lol but then they never get snow.
  2. Its fine, often times these type of extremes lead to big storms so the warmer it is this weekend the more I think next weekend has a chance lol.
  3. Not sure if this post was in reference to snow chances or just temps but we don't really major cold to snow chances in January, just close to average.
  4. After the extreme cold earlier in the week I'll take it. Rather comfortable than cold and dry at this point of my life. Just hope it doesn't get too warm.
  5. Its similar in the summer heatwaves too, the most drastic differences between city and surrounding at night seem to be during the more extreme weather especially warmth.
  6. People already canceling winter and yet there are storm threats as soon as next weekend. I honestly still wouldn't expect anything until after mid January but winter isn't over.
  7. I'll admit this cold is more fierce than I expected here. It's 9 degrees out right now.
  8. Yea it's not dropping that fast here either, it went from like mid 40s to mid 30s in a couple of hours which is decent, thats nothing compared to the type of drops further inland.
  9. Thats why I said probably. Anything can happen but the pattern the next 3 weeks looks horrible.
  10. Well it was nice to see the 5 minute snow squall, probably the only snow we'll see again until at least Mid January.
  11. Mixing with snow now as things wind down. So odd to see the cold air rushing in from south to north.
  12. The storm next week being halfway out in the atlantic on the GFS and CMC is probably where we want it at 180 hours out the way the winter is going.
  13. Looks like backend accumulating snow becoming more likely for Sullivan county and the catskills on Friday, some possible mood flakes further southeast of there as well, looks like the further west you are the better chance. Next week looks interesting on CMC, I know it's only model showing it but thats fine I trust the CMC more than other models.
  14. I don’t think what most models are showing 7-8 days out means anything. A hit is equally likely to no hit at this point imo. In terms of precip type very much undetermined but agree with you I don’t think we can just assume it’d be snow.
  15. The CMC has actually been creeping SE with backend snow on Friday. It’s kind of getting close for the northern and western parts of the subforum. We’ll see.
  16. I’d take a sleet storm it’s better than rain.
  17. I think there will be a big drop quick but it won't be as crazy as some models are hinting. Probably end up in like the mid to upper 20s on the coast.
  18. Chicago is now mixing on the storm this week lol can't believe this was at one time out in the atlantic, the long range models are terrible.
  19. Definitely still possible to see some front end frozen well inland although with the east wind situation again probably gonna be hard within 50 miles of the coast.
  20. I feel like we go through this every winter with the big expectations and then the doom and gloom. The reality is it doesn't usually snow much before January in our region, it almost always warms up sometime around Christmas and it snows from time to time but not that often in this area. I don't think winter is over.
  21. And then it just stops when it hits NYC and points NE?
  22. I can’t totally read the Ukie map but based on the 0 line verbatim looks like snow for NJ at hour 144 so maybe that’s where it’s coming from?
  23. Must be a mistake unless there is a storm between hour 144 and 168? Pivotal showing no accumulation in the same region.
  24. From congrats Chicago to congrats Buffalo is some progress. Probably won't matter for us but we continue to track.
  25. At this point I think the odds of an I95 snowstorm are pretty low but just hoping for front end or back end snow.
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