Winterweatherlover
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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover
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At least the NE forum gets some snow lol.
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The record may get saved today, forget Wednesday for now lol.
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The colder models were right about snow to the coast today. It’s much easier to get snow in the air though than onto the ground.
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RGEM has no precip into NYC until 7 pm Wed. I’d be surprised if that happens
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Better than drip drip imo.
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It unfortunately doesn't have any other model support.
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I actually remember that storm, that seemed way colder than this one though as you said. I was actually in New Paltz at that time and it went from single digits with snow to 20s and sleet but no rain. I think the city went from like the teens to the 40s.
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Started as a rain/sleet mix lower Westchester by the Bronx border, quickly changed to all rain.
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Snowing in Buffalo during the bills game, what else is new, must be nice for snow weenies to live in Buffalo.
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NAM still showing snow for NYC/LI tomorrow. I wouldn't be surprised if there are some backend flakes but there won't be accumulation.
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This seems more like a regular cutter to me than an SWFE. I have a hard time seeing PA/NW NJ or the MId Hudson Valley seeing 6-10 inches. Maybe Albany area to Northern NE could get those amounts but this storm should be bringing a lot of mid level warming with a sub 1000 low headed toward the lakes and the transfer to a secondary seems to take place pretty late.
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I wouldn't be that surprised if the NYC area and North of I84 got similar snow amounts though because it will depend on where the frontogensis is ahead of the mid level warming and where/if that dumping band sets up. Whatever falls will definitely have a better chance of sticking around north of I84. Thats not me predicting big snow for NYC area, I don't see anyone seeing more than 1-3 inches in this subforum in this setup due to the mid level warming.
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The giants still had a great season, unfortunately some of the hype takes away from that. They were never in the Eagles class this year.
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It does feel that way but should we not be excited? This might be the first and maybe only accumulating snow we see all winter.
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Even if it snows they probably won't measure it properly as the rain will wash it away within an hour. I think at least 50% CPK sees at least 0.1 on Wed.
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GFS and Ukie are kind of similar. CMC has basically nothing.
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12z Euro looks snowy on Wed around midday but I’m sure will continue to flip-flop.
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The model flip flopping is annoying but I think Wed comes down to high placement, how intense precip is when it starts and how strong the cutter is.
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1-3 inches to 50 degree rain stinks but would at least be more interesting than anything we've seen this winter. I'm still skeptical though that there is any meaningful snow on the front end.
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Honestly based on latest guidance that might be underdone a bit but yea I get the theme in terms of where the gradient is.
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CMC- 0 inches for NYC Wed GFS- 2.3 inches for NYC Wed Both models have it in the 50s later on in the storm.
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Storm 1 is trending east last minute which is not something we are used to seeing. For most of us it just means a 36 degree rain but wonder if it will have any affect on storm 2.
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Im in lower Westchester right near NYC so def not part of the HV but rooting for the HV to get a surprise tomorrow night. NAM looks good for the HV.
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Yea I more meant showing a few inches for NYC with storm 2 and the fact it even shows NYC changing to snow at the end of storm 1. I definitely see positive trends North and West for storm 1 across the models.
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I have noticed all the models have trended more interesting for I84 corridor and points north with tomorrows storm. The secondary continues to trend east (surprisingly) which should help the I84 corridor.
