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AtlanticWx

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Everything posted by AtlanticWx

  1. AtlanticWx
    if only the hrrr was as bullish as the euro, i'll take what i cna get tho!
  2. AtlanticWx
    well it was initialized at 21z and the time i posted it was at 21.50z so i had to skip to hour 0.5
  3. AtlanticWx
    there's like no precip in NW arkansas rn while it said there would be mod ZR, the system's probably just faster than modeled
  4. AtlanticWx
    is it me or is HRRR overdoing moisture rn?
  5. AtlanticWx
    bc the ratio of this event is very close to 10:1 if not higher
  6. AtlanticWx
    20z hrrr would make moco folks very happy, banding of snow for 2 hours+
  7. AtlanticWx
    19z hrrr was pretty bad fwiw but there's always one or two bad runs of the hrrr day of
  8. AtlanticWx
    rn i think around 0-0.25 for where i'm at (central MD) bc honestly 1" seems kinda outta the scope like what rgem shows definitely exciting trends tho
  9. AtlanticWx
  10. AtlanticWx
    rgem increased totals j a bit
  11. AtlanticWx
    more worried ab what the RGEM shows tbh
  12. AtlanticWx
  13. AtlanticWx
    mod snow for dc area for 2 hours and counting, still running
  14. AtlanticWx
    probably one of the most interesting synoptic setups we've had this winter, slow + amp everything down a bit and you get an awesome setup. we have a beast of a 50/50 low and if we can slow + amp everything just a bit, definitely gonna be worth watching
  15. AtlanticWx
    yeah that's good
  16. AtlanticWx
    00z eps coming in w more confluence and a more amped S/W. let's see how this trends tmr, i have a good feeling but we'll see
  17. AtlanticWx
    more than enough time for it to trend held back/amped. wouldn't worry
  18. AtlanticWx
    euro was an awesome step in the right direction, very wet snow near va beach around hour 156 or something perhaps we go back to what 00z/06z runs were last night soon enough
  19. AtlanticWx
    case in point
  20. AtlanticWx
    yeah 18z changes the orientation of the TPV entirely to more W/E rather than NE/SW. would throw this run out, major shift that disagrees with literally every run before it
  21. AtlanticWx
    lowkey models have been flipping a lot. 12 hours ago models agreed on a 6-8" storm S of richmond. prob not over yet
  22. AtlanticWx
    is that what ruins it?
  23. AtlanticWx
    great
  24. AtlanticWx
    honestly we want this S/W to tilt negatively quicker which is the opposite of the trend we've gotten since 06z. we can turn this around tho, still hvae time
  25. AtlanticWx
    With no snow expected today, seems like we're gonna break the record at Dulles for the latest first measurable snow.
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