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AtlanticWx

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Everything posted by AtlanticWx

  1. i missed the play-by-plays in the forums, can't wait to see the outcome in a few
  2. imo this setup seems like one of those sneaky setups that shows up on ops before ensembles, and it's also a sensitive one. so either the ensembles are right and that it won't happen or there's slowly growing support based on the progression of the pattern
  3. what time would y'all recommend waking up here around moco, i'm torn between 2 and 3 am
  4. oh i didn't mean to stir up something haha, yeah it won't do it but it's nice to see it getting more north than modeled. hopefully we all come out with something to put us on the board!
  5. i meant in the sense that one run being bad isn't the end of the world like it seems in this forum
  6. hrrr seems much better at 00z, proving that u can't rlly put much stock into one run
  7. i remember hrrr downtrended before 1/7/2022 and 3/12/2022 last year, both events that ended up working out and over performing. no point worrying about what models say like 5 hours before onset for many
  8. hm, we're probably fine then. 20z and 22z i think were both good runs
  9. what's w/ the HRRR being so south compared to most guidance? just HRRR-the-night-before shenanigans?
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