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AtlanticWx

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Everything posted by AtlanticWx

  1. that storm on feb 11 that had a perfect track and gave us 1" of 36° and rain that way overperformed what was expected qpf-wise which could've been a region wide foot of snow made me give up on this winter lmao this winter has been such a tease
  2. both weeklies and extended really look better come the first week of march into the end of march
  3. we might break the record for the warmest feb temp at KIAD on feb 24, we could be flirting w 80s which is completely unprecedented
  4. sucks to know that we're overperforming qpf wise rn, prob gonna have 1" of rain when all is said and done based on what models r saying for the remaining amount of rain and the existing rain that's fallen if only it were all snow
  5. on the list of short range models that literally don't matter, RGEM is slower / less progressive
  6. eps is being kinda slow rn but eps control looks way better
  7. 18z euro looks like it's digging more + slower + more amped. good trends
  8. the high doesn't really matter here to be honest. the system is dynamic enough to produce its own cold
  9. H5 on 18z gfs looked really, really, really nice just as u said we need it a bit north
  10. it'd be really funny if we were able to pull off a storm in the worst possible pattern. +NAO/+AO and MJO phase 4
  11. seems to be gearing up at hr 99, i would take my chances w/ this look
  12. it looks even more amped than 06z, perhaps it's too far NW?
  13. i missed the play-by-plays in the forums, can't wait to see the outcome in a few
  14. imo this setup seems like one of those sneaky setups that shows up on ops before ensembles, and it's also a sensitive one. so either the ensembles are right and that it won't happen or there's slowly growing support based on the progression of the pattern
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