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Stormchaserchuck1

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Everything posted by Stormchaserchuck1

  1. It actually shows 2-4".. ratios have it changing over to ice briefly along I-95.
  2. Coastal low is further south on the NAM... keeps the precip going over the area
  3. Pretty big shift north in the NE actually.. similar to what the RAP did https://ibb.co/gM3BdR4
  4. Whole trough is more negative this run.. only slight differences with storm so far https://ibb.co/6Y3nDGG
  5. I don't like big High pressures over the N. Pacific Ocean.. they correlate to snow here close to "0"
  6. 21z RAP fwiw really got more organized with the coastal.. gives NW of NYC 4-6"
  7. I don't know.. I personally like the setup, because there is more upside when a storm is wet over the TN valley then jumps to the coast. Here was the 18z Hrrr Here's the 18z NAM
  8. Some models have it mixing on or SE of I-95. I think the snow depth is most accurate because it takes into account lower ratios.
  9. 15z SREF.. seems like they are honing in on 3" max, except the RAP which had 4-5"
  10. 18z NAM really strengthened the potential a little bit.. same precip, but it's closer to a phase, and about 3-4mb lower with the coastal. I think they could go WSWatches. Key thing is 18z HRR had a more negative tilt early, and upped totals in the SE. Negative is it's going with a faster thump.
  11. Pushes the cold front through faster https://ibb.co/W3nGM2m A little closer to a phase I guess..
  12. Yeah, LWX is going aggressive. I guess they like longer duration storms.
  13. I like this one because it's going to stick around. 19th will probably melt shortly after.
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