Wow
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GFS a bit colder at 78... snow breaking out over extreme N SC
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Interesting that it's picking up a lee side minimum
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12z GEFS snow totals individual panels. A lot more agreement for a big winter storm. Best chances still WNC.. still some members cutting north to hit the MA which would be an issue for eastern half of the state
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Looks like an I-85 special
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...and it has not trended north. The 50/50 low continued to trend stronger .. It's further south compared to prev run
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Guys, this is the FV3 at 96
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Good to see the FV3 coming back south closer to yesterday's run
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use Imgur.com
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Indeed.. broad support for the double digit numbers. 6/20 is 24"+ in Statesville LOL
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18z GEFS mean snowfall: CLT: 9" HKY: 17" SVH: 15"
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Quite a few wild snow maps out of the 18z GEFS
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Yes, since 12z. Similar to 6z
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18z GEFS is the wettest mean yet. Here's a trend loop:
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At 120, the 0 line is running from CLT to Salisbury to RDU
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Then changes over S of I-85 at 120
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@114, snow over most of NC, even RDU
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The s/w is less amped at this stage (less phasing of energy) and the high is further east, indicative of increased confluence.
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GFS is slower with the southern s/w progression, closer to Euro
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18Z Nam identical to Euro at 84 hrs.. GFS & FV3 have been faster
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Pulled that one out by the skin of my teeth to stay all snow
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That's a lot of water
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The 6z FV3 run looks identical to yesterday's 0z run (12/3). Then it went back to a slider for a few runs. So model runs across the board are going back and forth with the idea of it pulling north. We'll see what happens today if we gain any confidence in that idea.
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Well, yeah ..
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I haven't seen a model show something like this since the 12z FV3!
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Congrats old GFS!
