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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    GFS thru in the towel on the Monday system.
  2. 78Blizzard
    Didn't we hear that said yesterday...
  3. 78Blizzard
    We won't hold it against you.
  4. 78Blizzard
    We can add the 18z RGEM to the Monday whiffs.
  5. 78Blizzard
    I'll take that 68% chance of >12" on that EPS run.
  6. 78Blizzard
    We laugh at the Ukie but it looks to have led the way for the Euro at 12z today, at least.
  7. 78Blizzard
  8. 78Blizzard
    Not really. With it showing temps in the mid to high teens here during the worst of the storm, you would expect higher ratios. The 10-1 here is for 10" from the Wed storm, but the Kuchie has 17".
  9. 78Blizzard
    Agreed. Most of the time I never look at it. Has it ever led the way on any system, lol?
  10. 78Blizzard
    Toss the ICON.
  11. 78Blizzard
    2m temps mostly 32-33F in SNE. This QPF map is easier to see:
  12. 78Blizzard
    CQX sweet spot with 9" on Monday.
  13. 78Blizzard
    RGEM closer but warm.
  14. 78Blizzard
    I wouldn't put any stock into it, since it is the NAM at 72+ hrs, and the 32K at that, lol.
  15. 78Blizzard
    Agree, but that is all they had at TT for the NAM.
  16. 78Blizzard
    The 18z 32k NAM finally came out incomplete, but enough to see it was a whiff for Monday.
  17. 78Blizzard
    Based on the 32k Nam which was incomplete on TB, it looks like the Monday storm is a whiff.
  18. 78Blizzard
    NCEP having issues? NAM missing in action.
  19. 78Blizzard
    I'll sell the CMC getting 20" into DC and Philly.
  20. 78Blizzard
    It went E when it hit the wall as the GFS did, just that it was a stronger system than the 12z run. Notice the surface temps are 10 degrees colder in SNE and 20 degrees colder in NNE than the 12z run.
  21. 78Blizzard
    With those temps the Kuchera ratios would apply.
  22. 78Blizzard
    Better than 12z on the CMC but same result in the end.
  23. 78Blizzard
    You could see it at hr 144 with the contour of the isobars indicating an E movement.
  24. 78Blizzard
    That ICON run will prove to be the outlier.
  25. 78Blizzard
    Especially if you started a thread for it 6+ days out. The toaster baths and bridge jumping then goes up exponentially.
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