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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. I wouldn't put any stock into it, since it is the NAM at 72+ hrs, and the 32K at that, lol.
  2. Agree, but that is all they had at TT for the NAM.
  3. The 18z 32k NAM finally came out incomplete, but enough to see it was a whiff for Monday.
  4. Based on the 32k Nam which was incomplete on TB, it looks like the Monday storm is a whiff.
  5. NCEP having issues? NAM missing in action.
  6. I'll sell the CMC getting 20" into DC and Philly.
  7. It went E when it hit the wall as the GFS did, just that it was a stronger system than the 12z run. Notice the surface temps are 10 degrees colder in SNE and 20 degrees colder in NNE than the 12z run.
  8. With those temps the Kuchera ratios would apply.
  9. Better than 12z on the CMC but same result in the end.
  10. You could see it at hr 144 with the contour of the isobars indicating an E movement.
  11. That ICON run will prove to be the outlier.
  12. Especially if you started a thread for it 6+ days out. The toaster baths and bridge jumping then goes up exponentially.
  13. Usually the juju turns out not good when starting a thread 6 days out.
  14. That 2005 was a great storm. But N RI had an area that received over 50" in the blizzard of '78. I was around for that one living in Randolph, MA at the time. We had close to 4' there, despite what the KU books say. Opening the garage door yielded nothing but snow from top to bottom.
  15. The big difference from the 6z run is that the high to the north remained in place rather than moving out, pushing the storm further south.
  16. This was not an auspicious start to our meteorological winter.
  17. We have underground lines in our neighborhood, but the problem is you are still connected to the same grid that the overhead wires are connected to, so when a tree falls on a line, we lose power here, too. It happens more often than you would think.
  18. 34.5F here now with more flakes mixing in. We should be flipping over within the hour.
  19. 39F here, about 5 degrees cooler than 6 hours ago. Won't see any mixing until we get down to 35-36F, which won't be for a few hours yet.
  20. The Canadian models and Ukie didn't fair too well with this. Warmistas.
  21. They really need to fix that model and resolve its warmista bias.
  22. RGEM has been so awful on this one. That jack at ORH on other models is 1" on the RGEM, lol.
  23. Soon the 0z NAM will be giving us the odds for bridge jumping tomorrow.
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