78Blizzard
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Everything posted by 78Blizzard
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Given some major differences lately between the GFS and the Para, it's not surprising that they have delayed its implementation.
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GFS Para says what blizzard?
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I wonder how much the tv mets use the Euro these days. That model has become more robust with each run since 0z Sunday, yet these mets don't seem to give it much weight.
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I wonder which model they are basing that upon.
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LOL @ the GFS. Hour 180 shows 4"/hr rate here for 3 hours.
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This is LR, but look at the difference at hr276 at h5 between the GFS and the Para:
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Those come out much faster than TT or Pivotal.
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I guess everyone has about had it with 8 day progs, lol. Nobody here.
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That Feb 1 system just sits off PVC for 12 hours, and it was slow to get there from ACY. Crushed. But all downhill from here, lol.
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Enjoy.
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Half of what the GFS shows around here and other places falls as rain. I don't trust those thermals. It shows just under an inch of QPF here and more to the north.
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I'll take it here with around 5". Big change from the 2" on the last run.
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Looks better for ORH and points east thanks to that later wave near the south coast.
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I think it was still going in places past 72 hrs.
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The Euro has not had those snows getting into CNE and NNE in any runs I have seen.
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The Euro said this is not happening. Typical 18z GFS run.
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HRRR and RAP out of their range but both look decent for some light snows around these parts.
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But it's been trending in the right direction the last 3-4 runs.
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NAM finally getting a clue, holding on to that primary longer this run.
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I've learned my lesson this winter, and that is not to get invested in 8-10 day potentials.
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We've seen that a few times this winter.
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Didn't Eric Fisher tell us cold and dry for the next 10 days just a couple of days ago?
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It looks like we will finally have snow on the ground next week since all the globals thus far agree on that. No guarantee, though, and the king could be the fly in the ointment. We'll see soon.
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It would be even colder with a pack.
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I'll have some:
