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78Blizzard

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  1. 78Blizzard
    Here's the key takeaway from that article: "But it’s quite a leap to go from the stratosphere to conditions at ground level, and Cohen, for example, argues that regardless of how impressive the stratospheric warming or polar vortex movement is, “No one is going to care until there is snow in people’s backyards.”" Here is Judah Cohen's weekly blog from yesterday, which gets into this on a more technical level: https://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation/
  2. 78Blizzard
    On that Jan 12-13 Euro threat, of all models giving that scenario support it's the JMA, lol. The JMA goes out to only hr 192, but the look of the isobars with its position south of LI shows it taking a due E turn at that point, unlike the Euro. Upper level winds support that on the JMA. This is so far out yet that it could still whiff as the other globals indicate.
  3. 78Blizzard
    It can't be any worse than what most models had at that range for the last system.
  4. 78Blizzard
    The most overused two letter word on this forum.
  5. 78Blizzard
    The weeklies may look good, but right now the GFS and v16 are whiff central for the next 2 weeks. For whatever that's worth, and most likely not much.
  6. 78Blizzard
    If those returns in NE CT hold together, we should be snowing pretty good in about 1/2 an hour here.
  7. 78Blizzard
    Going to lighten up here for a while, but some nice returns heading this way from E CT.
  8. 78Blizzard
    Vis really dropped here. Snow sticking to streets now. Coming down at a good clip.
  9. 78Blizzard
    Coating the grass here now, giving that still lingering pile at the end of the driveway some love, lol.
  10. 78Blizzard
    This area near Bos seemed to blossom on its own.
  11. 78Blizzard
    As for me...
  12. 78Blizzard
    What this winter has shown us so far is that the models need a lot of work in accurately prognosticating beyond 48 hours when it comes to this type of system. That means you, too, Euro.
  13. 78Blizzard
  14. 78Blizzard
    The Euro put the final nail in the coffin.
  15. 78Blizzard
    CMC says much of SNE gets more than Maine. Fuji fail.
  16. 78Blizzard
    Gee, just 24 hrs ago Mainers were looking at this:
  17. 78Blizzard
    I changed the spark plug and the oil on mine yesterday, so that was probably the kiss of death.
  18. 78Blizzard
    Ukie does its fuji halfway to Bermuda, lol.
  19. 78Blizzard
    Ukie not much different than 12z. Still well SE of Benchmark.
  20. 78Blizzard
    OT, but the v16 much improved for us on the 1/8-9 system. Crushes DC up to Philly.
  21. 78Blizzard
    Maybe 6" for HYA and 2" for CHH, verbatim on that run.
  22. 78Blizzard
    The Pivotal snow map has 13" for extreme western ACK, lol.
  23. 78Blizzard
    Yeah, especially since the models couldn't figure things out at that time frame for the Dec 17th deal.
  24. 78Blizzard
    Yeah, that was a definite improvement from 18z. That was the best run for these parts since yesterday's 18z for that model.
  25. 78Blizzard
    Cue the Tipster.
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