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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 78Blizzard
    I see the 12z GFS finally threw in the towel on us getting into the 90's. First run in a while that I've seen without anything even approaching 90 here for the entire run. That probably means we will see some.
  2. 78Blizzard
    The GFS week after week continues to push for 90's here, but it just doesn't happen. That model upgrade has definitely shown a warm bias. Look at the 0z differences with h850 temps between the GFS and the Canadian for day 8 next Monday, especially from the plains and lakes region east.
  3. 78Blizzard
    The high here yesterday was 87, today 86. Now 85. I notice that the GFS is still warm biased, at least at this location. Yesterday's 12z GFS run had a high here of 93 yesterday, and the 18z run had a high of 95 today.
  4. 78Blizzard
    Yup, calling it a night.
  5. 78Blizzard
    The end result is not much changed from 12z. Ray looks to do a bit better. Nice hit for BOS metro.
  6. 78Blizzard
    At first glance at hr 12 it looks like the Euro should be west of the 12z run.
  7. 78Blizzard
    Pivotal seems to always have a problem with the snow map for the crazy uncle. Not sure why that is.
  8. 78Blizzard
    My temp hasn't budged for at least the last 6 hours.
  9. 78Blizzard
    Hopefully the UK is a precursor to the Euro.
  10. 78Blizzard
    Lol, yeah, Kevin won't like it.
  11. 78Blizzard
    I doubt the Euro at this stage is going to be the outlier, but I could be wrong.
  12. 78Blizzard
    BOS still under a WWA. No update yet from BOX despite these latest runs. Even the mesos have warning snows for BOS. In fact, all 12 different models I have seen have warning snows. Not one has less. I guess they are all wrong.
  13. 78Blizzard
    Up to 3"/hr rates for several hours in BOS metro.
  14. 78Blizzard
    Notice too that those winds from that point on are strong from the NW, eliminating any marine influence from the earlier NE winds.
  15. 78Blizzard
    Probably. Maybe it helped.
  16. 78Blizzard
    3k NAM has freezing or below in BOS area from 20z until the end.
  17. 78Blizzard
    The 18z was evidence that we can't lock it. But the Hrrr was showing a similar setup at 0z, further E and N from its 18z run, so we have 2 models moving in the right direction to start 0z.
  18. 78Blizzard
    Yeah, it's E and when it make the left turn and loops it stays offshore keeping us in the goods.
  19. 78Blizzard
    Hrrr was good for EMA, too. Went from 2" to 10" from 18z run. Low went further E and N before the left turn and loop.
  20. 78Blizzard
    Correction- I misread your post as being at 18z when it is 15z, so ignore what I said.
  21. 78Blizzard
    The GFS and NAM at 18Z show 925s -2 to -3, including the CMC and UK at 12z, so the Euro is all alone with those thermals at 0.
  22. 78Blizzard
    LOL, the 22z RAP just cut back on that to 5" for that 4 hr period.
  23. 78Blizzard
    21z RAP just got more bullish for EMA, with 2"/hr rate between 14z and 18z, a total of 8" in that time frame here. Similar outcome in other areas of EMA.
  24. 78Blizzard
    Based on the recon taking data right now, it should be available for the 0z models.
  25. 78Blizzard
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/
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