Peak winds will be around 18z Tuesday , at least according to the Euro op, with either moderate to heavy wet snow or sleet over many E areas. There is going to be a lot of tree damage based on that scenario. Not to mention power failures.
I would take a 50-50 compromise between the GFS and Euro ops at this point and take my chances on precip type. Cold air will probably be hard to find around here at the surface.
I think you may both be talking about different Saturday storms. If you are talking about the Saturday storm last weekend, yes, the GFS ensembles had shown consistency for 3 days.
We have often said that we need to nowcast certain systems. IMO this will be an epic nowcast system, especially with the tight gradient. Plenty of bust potential, up or down.