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78Blizzard

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Everything posted by 78Blizzard

  1. The 3k NAM stalls for 3-4 hours south of the islands, similar to the HRRR stalling south of RI.
  2. It spits out the same qpf at hr 48 as the GFS and ICON did at 12z.
  3. I wonder if that depiction is showing a potential stall or loop as it is the furthest west of all the models.
  4. At 3 days out, I don't like being in the bullseye. But I'll take it.
  5. If I'm reading that right, it looks like 4-5"/hr rates for a couple of hours, as well as a couple of hours of 3"/hr.
  6. With the ICON, Ukie and Euro all on board now, can there be any doubt? They all were kicking and screaming to get here. Still not game time, but looks like the GFS schooled them all this time.
  7. All those weak outliers to the east are not happening, so the mean is actually even closer to the Cape.
  8. Except that the GFS and CMC have been steadfast pretty much throughout, and now the Euro is finally catching on. The trend away from an ots E movement has been apparent now for many runs on other than the Euro.
  9. I'm waiting for that Euro run that shows us getting destroyed. Hopefully not a wait in vain. Then we'll know it's game on. We'll see the GFS getting back to those snow maps we saw on 3 consecutive runs on Monday. I can dream, can't I?
  10. I wouldn't be surprised to see a stalled monster off the Jersey coast by tomorrow's runs.
  11. The longer this system is delayed, the better our chances.
  12. The ICON 500mb now looks like the Euro at 12z. Quite the change from 12z.
  13. The Euro is not giving up their outlier role without kicking and screaming. At this time yesterday there was no storm at all. At 0z, it put up a weak nothingburger off the NC coast heading E ots. Now it puts a stronger system a bit further north offshore but still heading E ots. Maybe by 0z it will finally find its way.
  14. With this snowy pattern, the torch keeps getting pushed back further and is weaker and not long lasting when it does arrive.
  15. I'd hate to hang my hat on the Ukie, especially now since the Euro went east like the GFS.
  16. Except that now the Euro looks like the GEM, .
  17. The lowest they got down to in 2015 was 36º F. As of Feb 7, the 2015 temp was 1.8º F higher, 37.6º F vs 39.4º F.
  18. Boston SSTs now coldest since 2009. https://seatemperature.info/february/boston-water-temperature.html
  19. Any stats available on the verification for the AI models?
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