SnoSki14

Looking at the 10-14 forecast and it's mid-late March weather in mid January. Wild to look at. We'll prob need another mega warm push (60-70F) to get record warmest January but it's definitely in the cards.

The warm winter has helped Europe a lot with their demand problems and it'll help us too this month. Once you accept that it'll be a mild/snow-free winter it becomes kinda nice. Lots of positives. Only wish there was less rain

There's no cold anywhere on the Euro. It's like a strong Nino, very bizarre. It would be horrible even for ski regions which are suffering big time

Big rainstorm. 50/50 gets out of the way and east of NE ridging becomes too strong again. Same ole crap It actually cuts off too so that would be a flooding rainstorm and coastal nightmare. Jesus christ that's like 6"+ of rain and widespread hurricane gusts well inland

It's just a lag really. Takes a while to warm the oceans, which is why even if we had net zero emissions tomorrow things would continue warming for decades. Usually there's several years of warming to hit a new baseline and then it levels off for a bit or may even go down in lieu of other factors like in the 70s. Then the process repeats. Note that the leveling off period is what climate skeptics always mention. They talked about it in the 70s and 00s. The skeptics will also return if/when we do get net zero emissions and the planet continues warming. They refuse to acknowledge the lag.

The data checks out. That's when temps started rising, I don't think it's a coincidence. I think if we set futility records this year like zero snowfall in NYC then that would be a pretty big wake-up call.

Ensembles and weeklies look horrendous after mid Jan. 2001-2002, 19/20 & 11/12 type warmth. Top 3-5 warmest Jan looking likely

Maybe punt winter too. Pattern looks horrible after mid Jan

And yet people still think we aren't warming. Pathetic

Lol

Yawn. Let me know when that says 48hrs not 234

There's def a lot of good things to come from the warmth especially this year.

He's gone max pessimist like that snowman character. I'm feeling bleak atm but even I think we'll prob get something eventually. If not then it is what it is

We might see early growth if that's the case.

I'll check back in 5 days and see what happens

I highly doubt that

If it weren't for the clouds we would easily see widespread 70s

JB would never mention something that goes against his climate hoax agenda.

The GFS is on crack as usual. No other support. The stuff on the 9th has a much better chance of dropping some wintry weather Meanwhile Canadian drops more snow in GA/SC than it does in the northeast

Let me know when it shows that at day 2 instead of 8

It still would be extremely difficult not to see snow even in the warmest, ugliest winter. And right on cue the GFS has a weenie-ish like run.

Yeah that's true. I guess I'm just thinking of the immediate NYC metro. CT is also SNE to me and they normally do well in March.

Yes but cold air is also fleeting so the variables cancel out. As great of a pattern as March 2018 was it delivered lackluster totals vs what would've occurred a month earlier because cold air was lacking at times.

The analysis has been spot on and easily the best on this forum.

Cue Bluewave to explain how MJO doesn't dictate the pattern. We have a firehose pacific jet. That's going to obliterate the cold and give us March weather.