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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    The lack of Greenland blocking has been very disappointing. Positive AO/NAO most of winter
  2. SnoSki14
    The 10-20th period looks interesting. EPO supplying cold air and there's some western ridging. Even a bit of Atlantic blocking too.
  3. SnoSki14
    It's your own fault for responding
  4. SnoSki14
    Hopefully not. Cold in mid-late March is cloudy, usually with a chilly rain & low 40s.
  5. SnoSki14
    It can take several weeks to see the effects. A strongly negative NAO/AO late March & April wouldn't surprise me.
  6. SnoSki14
    I'm willing to bet we hit 80 in March. There's no blocking and a strong -PNA is likely.
  7. SnoSki14
    Our severe weather season has been a lot more active lately and it should continue. More flooding and tornado threats
  8. SnoSki14
    Dramatic much?
  9. SnoSki14
    What did it show for March?
  10. SnoSki14
    Luckily temps have mainly hovered around 31-32F to limit icing here though a glaze on colder surfaces is present. A couple degrees colder and it would've been a major problem.
  11. SnoSki14
    32/20 which is concerning. If temperatures fall to 28-29F there would be significant icing.
  12. SnoSki14
    GEFS picking up on it. Less -EPO more -AO and it's causing early March to trend colder. A neutral/negative PNA & negative AO is a good cold/snow signal for March.
  13. SnoSki14
    Surface temps are more likely than not going to end up colder than forecast. Areas away from immediate metro should watch out. Primary low is quite weak, it's going to be a struggle warming the surface.
  14. SnoSki14
    Yeah seriously. The people further north on the edge should be the most worried.
  15. SnoSki14
    Surface temperatures will be difficult to warm regardless so more ice possible. I'm hoping we stay on the positive side of freezing but it'll be close. Currently low 30s with dews in the teens.
  16. SnoSki14
    You want to suppress the SE ridge as much as possible this time of year and models often underestimate the strength of the SE ridge. This would actually be a good look if it verified. Models showing more of a -AO by mid March so winter may not be over just yet.
  17. SnoSki14
    If you think this temperature swing was impressive just wait till you go from 80s to 30s in April over 3-4 hours
  18. SnoSki14
    Rgem would make for a very messy Friday commute. That's something to watch as it's usually the more amped/warmer model.
  19. SnoSki14
    These mild days are nice but it just makes the cold following them feel a lot worse.
  20. SnoSki14
    All it takes is small ridging to set new records It's effortless
  21. SnoSki14
    I think this is often exaggerated. Sure there could be chilly days but it's pretty likely we average AN overall. Average temps are rapidly going up by then
  22. SnoSki14
    This winter has highlighted the importance of -NAO/AO blocking.
  23. SnoSki14
    Good, models are trending warmer. No icy mess to deal with. HRRR takes low to buffalo
  24. SnoSki14
    I'll take rain over an icy slop any day. The only time I don't mind sleet and ZR is if it's on top of a few inches of snow. It's good for snowpacks and that's about it.
  25. SnoSki14
    Rgem was one huge mess Friday morning. Hope that's wrong and we just rain.
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