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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Looks like slight risk was expanded somewhat for tomorrow. Instability will be important
  2. Aka the truth being whatever fits your narrative.
  3. It's only a matter of time. A record warm 11-12 style winter and then a deep freeze late March or early April. This cold absolutely sucks though. Was outside last night and it felt like mid winter with the gusty winds.
  4. When 80% of the month is a torch then obviously. It makes the odd cold islands even more memorable.
  5. And there's more cold to come too.
  6. 22F now. Impressive late season cold
  7. Officially down to freezing. Let's see how low we go
  8. Multiple nights of low 20s, highs on Monday barely above freezing. Will definitely crush the early blooms.
  9. Monday's cold is ridiculous for this time of year. Barely above freezing with gusty winds under sunny skies too. I'm sure the strong late March sun will help some but it's still going to feel cold. Also wouldn't be surprised to see lows below 20F in many suburbs.
  10. This is my favorite type of weather. Very fall like
  11. We might be in a mini hiatus period especially with a -AMO/PDO. However the next Super Nino could mean we crush likely pumping up to 1.5C+
  12. The coming freezing temperatures would've been absolutely devastating to the growing season if Feb/March were a little warmer. Still we're a good 10-14 days ahead of schedule so some early bloom damage is likely.
  13. I see blocking for early April but not sure what happens after.
  14. It's not that bad. Tomorrow looks nice, we'll probably see more 70s after the Arctic shot. Looks like an oscillating pattern into April. Temps underperforming today though. Only mid 40s. Temps will almost always underperform in easterly flow events in March-May.
  15. Insane Antarctic warmth and nobody will notice because 0-10F is still perceived to be cold. Only when we get ridiculous heat in the states does anyone care. And for people to really notice we'd need a Pac NW style heat dome over the northeast.
  16. I'd be willing to bet the blocking doesn't go away that easily and it ends up in the 40s with a cold & dreary easterly wind.
  17. That's way too early to say. If it showed snow at that range you would rightfully be skeptical. Models are also notoriously too quick to break down blocking. I take any model forecast beyond Day 5 with a grain of salt.
  18. I'm not sure the pattern is favorable for snows but I continue to be impressed on the late March cold. Some guidance even shows us dropping into the teens with highs near freezing.
  19. It's a rare legit cold wave in a sea of warmth. Early blooms likely to be affected.
  20. I'd imagine this would have some effects on the early blooms we're experiencing. Looks like we're a couple weeks ahead of schedule.
  21. 12z EPS continues the strong blocking signal so I think it's legit. Spring blocking has been a common theme. I don't know how cold it'll get but it will def get unsettled for a time
  22. Ensembles gradually trending stronger with the blocking so things should get a lot more unsettled. Still looks to be on the milder side with some cooler easterly flow days mixed in.
  23. Not the most convincing blocking signal. EPS goes warm quickly by 1st week of April.
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