Hurricane Agnes

I had seen a -25 current temp for International Falls, MN early this morning and their HWO is calling for possible Wind Chill Advisories/Warnings every day through to next Saturday. They even have one of these on their 7-day forecast page - Don't recall ever seeing that one here. Had a 33 low this morning and it's currently overcast and 49 with dp 36.

Good discussion about this - https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/winter-season-coldest-air-january-2023-deep-freeze-snow-canada-united-states-mk/ Ralph-style anomaly map for next week's (probably transient) cold intrusion (from above linked discussion) - This seems to be what is triggering suppression and the slider storms. What is shocking is that only about 5% of the Great Lakes have ice coverage meaning any arctic intrusion is going to generate another massive lake-effect snow event. But even with that, the handwriting on the wall with the MJO - And the NAO -

Here's an idea - Made it up to 51 today after a low of 28 and it's currently 46 with dp that did creep up to 33.

Looks like the EC has sortof caved to the suppressed/slider idea that the GFS has been showing. I think it's gonna depend on the position and amount of amplification of the western ridge. I would wait for now since at least the 2/3 - 2/5 storm is still over a week away and we have seen these midrange undulations before. Looks like my low was 31 this morning and am currently 33 and partly cloudy with dp 25.

What is wild are the opposite solutions from the EC and GFS for the storms. They have all been honking at something that week so I think something is going to happen but the actual dates/p-types/amounts are all over the place! The Canadian seems to tilt towards the EC 2/4 timeframe though.

I'm surprised 2009 - 2010 didn't show up on your graph unless most of that was down this way. Here IMBY, I had something like 70" that blew past the 1995 - 1996 season and even the 2013/2014 season with something like 60" measured. Well my "high" remains as the post-midnight temp of 57 and my "low" was 41. Currently overcast after changeable skies started up this afternoon, and 43, with dp 31.

Actually hit a non-diurnal high of 57 about 11:45 pm last night making that the high for yesterday and that temp persisted after midnight before a slow drop, potentially make that the high for today. Picked up 1.37" of rain yesterday and 0.26" early this morning for a 2-day event total of 1.63". Currently damp and 44 with dp 41.

Temps continue to rise and have now hit 50, with light rain, 0.64" for today so far, and dp 50.

Non-diurnal temp change continues. Temp now up to 48/dp 47, with a steadier rain and 0.44" in the bucket so far at post time.

Temp has been slowly creeping up here and have 0.19" of rain so far today. Currently 42 and misty with dp 41.

Getting light rain now enough to tip the bucket and have 0.02". So far have had no frozen either alone or mixed at this point here in NW Philly. Still 38 and dp 35.

Looks like 4 reports with 1.5 - 2.3" reports in Berks (Sinking Spring, Reading, Mertztown, Huffs Church). Still light drizzle/mist and now 38 with dp 33.

In this case,this is level 2 data (Gr2Analyst) and I just have it up for visuals to get some of the spotter reports. I have no snow down this way in NW Philly.

Getting good accumulations N/W.

Getting drizzle here. Nothing anywhere near measurable yet. Temp is 37 with dp 30.

Had popped outside about 10 minutes ago and you can smell the snow in the air although it's many miles away. LOL Had a 29 low this morning and it's currently overcast and 37 with dp 27.

And the 18z GFS dried it up.

18z NBM has a bit more (as a blend) than the NAM/EC/CAN and earlier GFS) but the 18z GFS is running right now so will see how that goes (although obviously the 6zs and 18zs are sortof intermediary runs without all the data).

The 18z NAM (both 12k & 3k) ditched that idea. 18z Canadian does give some more to N/W.

Looks like the rain has cleared out and the sun has come out. Finished up with 0.42" liquid precipitation for the day (1.25" for the 2-day event). Currently clearing, partly sunny, and 38, with dp 36.

That's a 24 hour snowfall. I had the event total (couple days worth) below the animated map - it "looks better" without needing to use the Kuchera clown map.

12z GFS has some bomb that crawls up the coast (this is for the Ground Hog's day/week storm).

No accumulation from any of the mix and have just had intermittent rain and am up to 0.39" for the day (1.22" for the 2 days). Currently misting and 37 with dp 37. I did see Paul had reported his snow totals earlier today.

Getting white pancakes here now. Not detecting any rain mixing in (at least when I just checked) and nothing sticking since the ground/surfaces are wet and semi-"warm". Temp is down to 35 with dp 34. So far had 0.34" of rain recorded for today (1.17" 2-day total).

Reminded me of finally watching the 1954 movie "White Christmas" (Bing Crosby, Danny Kaye, etc) and how their little performing group decides to head north to VT from FL to a ski lodge owned by an old war commander/buddy and they sing the famous song "Snow" along the way and do a reprise of it when they get off the train in VT to something that I think they described as looking like NC instead of VT, with no snow whatsoever right before Christmas, and whether they got off at the right stop! Scene where the cab takes them to the lodge and there's nothing but bare ground and trees. There's a part in the film when they first go into the lodge and Crosby's character speaks with the receptionist (Mary Wickes) saying - "We came up for the snow. Where're you keeping it?" and she responds "Oh we take it in during the day". A movie done almost 70 years ago that was "for real" when it came to "snow". As an obs - made it up to 42 yesterday and had 0.83" of rain then (the heaviest between about 9 pm and midnight) and so far 0.18" this morning (1.01" at post time as a 2-day total). Low was 36 and it's currently overcast, misty, with occasional light rain and 37 with dp 37.