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Hurricane Agnes

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  1. Yup. But it's sortof getting into the mid-range now and we have seen this before as all of them start churning out options different from their long-range guesses, before deciding (or getting close to deciding) on a solution a few days out.
  2. The GEFS is still hanging tough for 2/28 but has some SE-PA love for 3/4.
  3. Canadian splits the difference between the Euro and GFS and brings some more down this way for the 2/28 storm.
  4. GFS still ignoring SE for the 3/4 - 3/5 storm although it looks like it's slower from previous runs.
  5. 12z GFS cherry-picked a spot in Philly, as well as Camden, Burlington, and Gloucester Counties in Jersey to get some luvin' for 2/28.
  6. 6z EC the 2/28 storm is one of those split the difference things vs the GFS 6z.
  7. 6z GFS continues keeping the stuff north of I95 for both Monday and next Saturday, but has gotten some down into the rim counties. For some obs - I eventually made it up to 34 yesterday after it started clearing and the sun was trying to come out. This morning started out cold (low 24) but the temp has quickly rebounded since and is up to 29, with dp 27. Getting some low stratus at the moment and what looks like fog to my north.
  8. For next weekend's storm, the GFS looks to be an apps runner with that freezing line in a marginal position for the southern part of the CWA. Still have a ways to go with how that is going to eventually resolve.
  9. There has been some antecedent cold but this storm looks to be another lakes cutter pulling some warm air up from the south as the cold air recedes. Meanwhile the 18z GFS hot off the press says "You get nothing!" (well... unless you are in S. Jersey including 1 little square area in Burlington County, Monmouth County, and a piece of Ocean County, and if you are where RedSky is with a nod to some marginal frozen ).
  10. Canadian has the frozen north as does the NBM, so may be more wet than frozen in the southern part of the CWA.
  11. Looks like the back edge is headed off the coast and it is starting to clear here with the sun struggling to show through the clouds. I also finally made it to just above freezing. Currently 33 and mostly cloudy but brightening, with dp 21.
  12. I actually got a very light dusting of some flakes and graupel on a few spots am currently getting some microscopic flakes. Temp is 30 with dp 17 after a low of 24.
  13. 6z GFS pushed it north and brought the warmer air with it to the S/E.
  14. 6z GFS has an interesting setup for a crush. The NBM isn't buying it yet though. My "high" of 47 (so far) for the day actually started after 8 am since the temps took a nose dive yesterday and overnight. Am currently mostly sunny and 47 with dp 28.
  15. My Upper Darby sister texted that she is at 70 there now. I am at 64 so delayed but not denied. A NBC10 met who popped in on KYW earlier noted that there was some easterly wind component today that had been keeping some of the temps down so far (particularly at the shore), but the 70s were definitely going down in the Delmarva. Missed who it was. EDIT - after missing 2 more reports I finally caught which met was reporting into KYW this afternoon - Michelle Rotella.
  16. Wow. Small world. I found a video someone posted showing some of the damage. Adding updated PNS issued yesterday afternoon. Right now I'm up to 59 with dp 49 and sunny.
  17. I'm up to 49 now and slowly going up. I think I'm probably around 15 miles south of you.
  18. The fog has lifted and the sun just popped out here, with the sky clearing rapidly and temp going up. I think the warm front is finally on the move. Currently mostly sunny and 48 with dp 44.
  19. Forecast was for the front to finally pop up and off the mountains by the early afternoon. Currently still in the 30s/40s in the CWA.
  20. Wow, I think maybe the warm front is on the move and although the temp here hasn't gone up yet, the fog has rolled in like mad from the north. Vis down to about 1/10th of a mile. I ended up with a high of 44 and 0.02" of precip yesterday despite all the stuff that blew overhead. Currently a damp and foggy 40 after a low of 39 and with dp 40.
  21. Zooming in on that map, I can sortof see where stemwinder would be north of that path. Still too close!!! And the 6z GFS has a coastal thing for that March 4 - 5 frozen.
  22. Currently getting very light rain and drizzle here (not enough to be measurable yet) but no pingers. Temp currently 43 with dp 30. But you won't have to use it until the March/April frosts and freezes that will be just in time for when my blueberries are blooming, guaranteeing a perfect kill!!!
  23. It had cleared enough here oveernight and early this morning to drop me down to 31 for a low just before 5:30 am. It started out partly sunny earlier but has clouded up much of the rest of the morning. Currently overcast and 42 with dp 30.
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