Volcanic Winter
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Everything posted by Volcanic Winter
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I’ll never forget tracking that band on radar, my jaw was on the floor. More than a little jealous but happy it happened!
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Wow you did better than me, I had 16 inches at the Manchester border. I think I saw you’re at the eastern side of TR and this was definitely one of those storms that paid off being at the immediate coast. Great storm for us. Jan 22 was a nice wintry month, I look back on it very fondly for more than just the big finish.
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Seeing many blame it on the very negative -PDO too that’s continued through the winter. Also know there’s some debate over when exactly the -PDO regime began in earnest and when it’s likely to flip or at least offer some reprieves. I do agree that not all winters should be judged the same if a -QBO Strong Niño underperforms its a bigger deal / worse than the worst variety of Niña pitching us a shutout. Very fortunate sub regionally there were a couple great events for different areas, and overall at least most of us saw something this year. But I can’t in good conscience call a top ten warm winter good unless it was a proficient snowmaker. Even then, I like wintry stretches in my winter and dislike these shutout periods of terrible patterns with no hope for snow events. I rank the 2013-2015 winters very highly for that reason; felt like winters of a bygone era. Even down here those winters I had pack retention and ice on my porch for weeks at a time. 2016 was great for the HECS but there are a lot of other storms the past 15 or so years that are really up there for me in terms of enjoyment (and 2016 depends a bit on exactly where you were and how much you got). Even 1/29/22 was a top tier deal for me here, going back to the temperature thing; cold smoke pure powder in 22f - that’s my absolute favorite kind of snowstorm. I suspect the 2013-2015 type winters are going to be rarer and rarer going forward, whereas a 2016 deal with an embedded HECS might be the way things roll going forward, perhaps the best case with one or two other moderate events as bookends in the absolute best years. Just some pure speculation.
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I’m at 11 down here, not bad given the winter.
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My min was 13.6 on 1/22, which is about 6 degrees warmer than my minimum last year which happened in December. Very few nights in the teens for me this winter in the northern edge of the pine barrens, which is unusual. We typically have many. Both Jan and Feb averaged 35 degrees and change which was actually about 5 degrees colder than Jan and Feb last year, and about equal to December last year. Dec this year was much warmer at 41.
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Bottomed out at 16, definitely coldest of the season so far. Probably from all the nearby snowpack, right? Our inch and 2/3rds was mostly melted already, sadly. Definitely taking a glass half full approach overall, one of the warmest winters on record with extreme warmth in Canada and many marginal snow events in the area, and I’ve pulled down almost 11 inches in an area that doesn’t do well in marginal. Especially compared to last year, I’ll take it! And north CNJ northward has done impressively well these past two events, so it’s really nice to see in such a warm winter. I’d probably feel less optimistic if it were colder (even just average cold) and I missed on chance after chance, nah we’ve all done well to very well considering. And that extreme band that set up shop will be a very nice memory for a lot of people, that was absolutely wild! @Allsnow’s excitement was palpable and infectious!
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Where are you at with snowfall on the season dude? I just broke 10 inches, but could’ve easily had a bit more if not for poor luck. I think you’re in Rockland was it? You must’ve cleaned up in the Tuesday storm.
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Little more than an inch and a half, TR / Manchester border. Definitely stuck in the dry slot while Middlesex got absolutely smoked. Regardless, thrilled to see some actual snow again! Grabbed a wet, uber low ratio inch on Tues but this is far nicer. -
@MJO812 Get it man! Enjoy! Ended up awake all night, wasn’t planning on it but dealing with some insomnia. Though we don’t have much here it’s been awesome following all of you that got completely crushed. Nice to see a true positive bust!
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Finally coming down nicely! Looks gorgeous.
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Makes tons of sense, thanks for the explanation. I couldn’t even believe my eyes when I saw that band set up shop on radar. Was just blisteringly apparent that was real deal snowfall and would likely be the main event. Still no accumulation here outside a few flakes on grass with very low rates. Living vicariously through these insane pics so keep em coming! @Allsnowwhat you got man? Share a pic!
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Unreal! So jealous, but so pumped for you guys!
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Think I’m going to be extremely lucky to snag even a half inch, have to laugh. Looks like a persistent dry slot right over northern Ocean. It’s barely moved from this area lol. I suppose this is penance for doing well in the Jan storms.
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Congrats dude!
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Same, got absolutely nothing so far lol.
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Very light snow starting in inland TR / Manchester area. Temperature creeped up to 34/25, was below freezing. Should cool down as it picks up.
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Yeah that band looks insane. Congrats.
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Not snowing yet down here, went from being in a good spot to probably being in a screw zone. Is what it is, probably going to be up to see what falls as I’m having some insomnia tonight anyway. May as well stay up and see the (hopeful) snow.
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You’re a treasure Don, thank you.
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@donsutherland1 What is Boston’s low temperature on the winter, Don? Seems like they’ve been in the same boat with temperatures, maybe even a bit more-so than I would’ve anticipated. My winter low is only 17, average at the end of Jan is 20… Absolute struggle to even get near it. Also what is Boston’s DJF average thus far? Thanks, much appreciated!
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Nice little event (hopefully). Should get me into double digits on the season.
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The AMOC shutting down abruptly would wildly disrupt monsoon cycles and lead to major agricultural failure. Whatever the actual acute temperature impacts on North America (lesser) and Europe (greater), it would be a catastrophe for many other reasons. There was a concerning paper last year stating collapse could occur between 2025 and 2090 which is considerably sped up from timelines running on older data. Doesn’t mean they’re inherently correct, but it’s concerning (IMHO).
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I have seen you, in general, be misquoted and have statements attributed to you that I’ve not seen you make in various other subforums this year. So you’re not wrong, I’ve seen it.
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He’s a bit cheeky. We all have our quirks lol.
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Man, if this were a 10:1 event…
