The precip is advancing pretty good on radar and getting closer. This might come in earlier which would be good.
I like 1-3 but wouldn't be shocked to see slightly more. Depends how quickly it falls.
Don't talk in absolutes
He might be right if the models are wrong with the precip placement and the advancement of the warm air.
Either way , I like 2-4.
Do you even look at the pattern or just post what you want to post?
Eps is also going wild with the pattern. Fits the favorable MJO and ALL.
PNA also looks favorable