MJO812

We track. That would slide ENE.

Euro is now closer

Euro would also be closer

Way amped

Gfs continues to be the most amped model. Inland does really well. Rain for the coast.

Weeklies are cold right through early January .

Its below average through the 1st week of January even here also.

I thought the Euro is usually overamped and the gfs is too progressive.

If we want to see snow on the coast we have to hope for the trough to pass the coast before the precip comes up so it can ride the boundary. We also have to hope that the flow slows down. We haven't had a big phase in a long time . Can we finally have one ?

Euro AI ensembles are west of the op. I expect the ridge on the east coast to pump more due to the negative PNA. I expect shifts west but the question becomes how much far west?

Euro is also weak and suppressed.

Ukie is very weak

Gefs