MJO812

Keep pumping that PNA

Cmc also has a storm but its warm. Aifs is further south.

Gefs is trending colder in the mid range. PV is ticking further south.

As long as the pV is further south , we should be alright.

Beautiful ridge out west Pv is also way further south enhanced by the negative EPO. Gfs just gave 10 plus inches to NYC with overrunning.

Here comes the gfs lol

The models have been bad for quite some time.

Euro weeklies isnt that warm. Also , im not sure why people think the 2nd half of December will be warm. This isnt a warm signal right now. Mjo into 8 and 1 is a cold signal.

Good write-up but I doubt you will get a warmup when the MJO goes into 8. Watch the models trend colder like they did with this upcoming period ahead next week.

Euro is also close. Need the PV to squash the heights.

Thats not the point. The point is that many were posting how mild it is going to be. We just saw on the 12z runs how different they are with the warmup for early December. They look good for early December. How do you know what the storm track will be ? All we can do is track it but a favorable pattern is coming up as the mjo heads into 8 in December. Alot of doubters on here. Its fine but at least admit when posters claim its going to be warm but then it turns out cold.

Huh ? There's pages in here on how December 1- 7 was supppsed to way above normal with southeast ridge. We are seeing the models take a step back with the warmth. There is no need to worry about 2 weeks from now when the models cant even get next week right .