MJO812

We need a pacific reversal.

Wow steve D will be right again

Im usually the one to hold out hope but I think the gfs folds. The pattern is too messy for a big phase. We have a decaying block but we need the pacific to cooperate and looks like it might not. It would be another story if we had blocking and a good pacific to slow this flow.

Im usually the one to hold out hope but I think the gfs folds. The pattern is too messy for a big phase. We have a decaying block but we need the pacific to cooperate and looks like it might not. It would be another story if we had blocking and a good pacific to slow this flow.

Euro hasn't been good at all

Slightly west of 18z

Eps is also improved. Nice trends.

Euro still gives us a few inches even with the low way overshore.

Its even worse than 18z after some positives earlier in the run. It might be struggling.

Gefs was with the euro but it shifted way further west.

0z isnt an off hour

Outlier right now

Aifs eps is also further west