Mount Joy Snowman

Only .09” out this way. Sure hope we get in on some of that storm action that’s out to the west right now. I see one little cell just skirted right by you.

Once again, highs for today were MDT 86, LNS 85, THV 85, and CXY….91 haha

Funny you mention….our deck is overrun with wasps right now and my wife and I were commenting on how abundant they seem this year. We cant seem to get rid of them but they also havent been troublesome either. Seem content to keep to themselves. Trouble is we have two youngins that play in that area.

Yeah I've theorized on this a few times myself, being on the west side of the river and the downsloping off the hills and all, but even so there are times it seems juuuuuust a bit extreme when compared to not only its surrounding areas but virtually anywhere else in the state. Interesting micro scenario nonetheless.

Maybe you in your little hotbox haha but I doubt anyone else gets all that close. Heck, yesterday there was only one official station in the entire state that hit 90 and that was the notorious CXY. 83 is my point and click for today.

Looks like MDT briefly clipped 85 yesterday to tie the record. Lancaster and York hit 85 and 84. Of course CXY came in at 92 haha.

Interestingly enough, MDT still hasn't hit 85 for the day, topping out at 84.2 on a few occasions. Now, it still seems likely to happen and who knows when they do their "conversions" if it stays that way, but man, that would be quite the little upset if that record held on. I'm off to mow, later gents!

Come Monday, I believe we'll be just beyond that 58.3 number for the top spot. But as you said, we should revert back a bit from there.

Had the same thoughts, just a skosh in parts of the VT/NY mountains.

It looks like MDT set a record for highest min temp at 61 yesterday. Keep an eye out for that same record potentially falling Saturday as well. As for highs, we should be able to crack the record of 85 for today but tomorrow's 89 seems out of reach, with a bit more cloud cover being around in the afternoon. My first time seeing Fort Rock, OR come in with the national low, at 7 degrees. High of 96 at a number of locations in Arizona. As for the Northeast, well, satellite pictures don't get much more beautiful than this.....

Yeah I've been keeping an eye on things. The models have been waffling a bit given how tight the boundary is for much of the period. Will be interesting to see if the cold is more fleeting or steadfast in nature. Here is CPC's take. Only time will tell.

Well, I think by next Monday we'll be sitting right around that 58.3 degree mark for hottest April on record. Things get much more uncertain after that but I would say more average-like conditions will tend to prevail, with a couple of cool shots seeming likely as well. All in all, not feeling great about the shekels I laid down for warmest April on record haha, but much still to be determined. I do think a top ten type April is nearly a given at this point. Feeling a touch better about some solid rain chances for this weekend. Carry on.

For the Altoona Blair County Airport site (POR 5/1/48 to present day), it appears the earliest they've hit 90 was May 3rd, which happened in 2018.

MDT has never hit 90 prior to April 17th.

I hit 32 this morning on the car thermo while going through farmland. Record highs for Thu/Fri at MDT are 85/89. Probably a smidge out of reach but maybe not. The best bet may be the max min record of 59 for Saturday. We shall see. Death Valley reclaims its throne with a national high temp of 101, which means summer must be on the way. Low of 10 near Grand Mesa, CO. Outside of the Pacific NW, pretty bone dry across the Lower 48 today.

You bet! It's the best yard game there is and I will hear no other arguments. I say that as an avid cornholer as well.

Good morning lads. What a wonderful Easter Sunday it was. Can't draw them up much better than that. My toddler had a great time on some easter egg hunts and the adults got in some lively games of croquet and cornhole. Now we're off to the races with the heat until early next week, at which point it appears it will be muted but we'll see what the extended forecast brings. In any case, high and dry seems to be the theme around here for the foreseeable future. Hope everyone had a great holiday. Onward.

My big gripe with the "double R" model thus far is the extreme delay between the initialization hour and when the model output is actually released. Currently, the most recent run available is the 6z. I mean, it's 1pm and I can only see out to 8 pm on the most recent run available. Not great. Otherwise, I think it's had a great look in how it's handling convection.

A meager .01" here. Not optimistic on today's chances either, as I fear the line gets going too far east for most of us. After that, who knows when the next rains come. Mowed for the first time yesterday. It was my first springtime mow in over 10 years (came from an HOA who did all mowing). Man, did it feel good but also a pain in the ass with having a fence now. I don't care much for fences but with two dogs and two kids the wife left me no choice. MDT topped out at "only" 79 yesterday. Should be some comfortably cool days ahead after the frontal passage later today. Then the warmup begins. Question is, how long does the ridge dominate before breaking down? That will determine whether we can challenge any monthly records or not. Average temp for the month is up to 56. Onward.

The new King has spoken. All hail the RRFS!

Correct, 6.5 degrees AN would tie the 2017 record. We are currently running 5.5 AN with some warm days on tap but then some normal to below normal-ish type days before the warmup. I'm banking on that SER really setting up shop for a prolonged period, but we shall see. I had the same thought about the clear skies creating some cool nights to mitigate things. But if I were a betting man, I think right now I'd throw some shekels on the over, dangerous as that may be this early in the game.

CXY had a high temp 5+ degrees above any other ASOS/AWOS site in the state yesterday -- got to love it haha. So, I'm starting to think we can make a run at 2017 for hottest April ever. I'm not ready to go there quite yet but an official MJS prediction could be in the offing. Echoing other's sentiments in that I really hope we see some rain tonight/tomorrow because after that, sheesh, high and dry is the name of the game.

Anyone know anything about this new "RRFS A" model that has appeared on Pivotal? Seems to run every three hours and goes out to 18 hours. This note is included: The RRFS A is a prototype NOAA run. It will post as available, and is subject to outages that may be frequent and extended.

I had only 1.37" of rain that month. It still stands as the second hottest March on record, behind only the insane 52.0 average of March 1945.

The record highs (for both max/min) for tomorrow and Thursday are 83/56 and 89/60, respectively. That 56 should be gettable. Perhaps the 60 is doable as well if the cold front is slowed in moving through on Thursday evening.