Mount Joy Snowman

Looks like about .02" of rain here. My official February totals were 1.52" liquid and .1" of sleet. By "official" I mean my interpolated values from the roughly 3,734 sources that I use for precipitation data, as I still don't have a gauge up at the new place ha. Luckily, I am surrounded on all sides by some pretty reliable WU stations in close proximity. National high of 105 at Falcon Lake, TX. Been a minute since I've seen anything over 100, so yeah, it's coming. Low was -19 at Seagull lake, MN. Tomorrow is a nothing burger down here. Hoping for one last miracle in that mid-March timeframe everyone is humming about. After that, let's get on with Spring. Bu-bye.

So, February officially ends up at 40.8 for MDT, second warmest ever. Friday looks lost. It's middle-March or bust for the winter it appears. Not that anything will save it from being a complete bust at this point. Onward.

Heavy sleet shower just rolled through here. Quite heavy. But the rest of you are probably just seeing plain rain since I basically live on a mountain now at 470’.

Pack a few extras in the cooler brotha', because I'm with ya on that train.

Howdy! Don't get me wrong, by front-end thump I mean more of a front-end whimper. Yes I've been keeping tabs on the happenings out west. Just astounding the year they are having. Setting up perfectly for you. So, for both tonight's event and the Friday storm, you know where I'd want to be in PA? As always......Laporte.

Mornin' all! I was on vacation all last week so I only loosely kept an eye on the board. By vacation, I don't mean actually going anywhere; rather, just no work while still being stuck at home with a one-year old, two-year old, two dogs, and a wife. Make of that statement what you will Thanks @Bubbler86 for the shoutout on the monthly temp prediction. I see we are at 40.8 heading into the last two days. I think we knock a couple tenths off and come in juuuuust ahead of 1998 for second place all time, only losing out to the impressive 41.3 average from 2017. March looks to be much more reasonable, perhaps even on the chilly side. As others have mentioned, I'm sure our April and May will be plenty miserable to make up for things haha. As for this weekend, I've been watching but consider me on the "meh" side of things. I expect, well, the expected ha. What I mean by that is probably our standard scenario of a brief front-end thump of snow, quickly changing to sleet and plain rain as the secondary development occurs too late, and then hoping for some back-side snow that never comes. This seems like a New England special. As always, I hope to be wrong. Good to be back, cheers mates!

That's been the pattern we can't escape. With the precip comes the warmth, and then brief bouts of cold but not arctic air. Everything of note scooting up to our west. Rinse and repeat. Sooooo frustrating. Raining at a pretty good clip here at the moment.

Better yet, I'm thinking tomorrow morning I may actually be able to get out that MU study I've been promising since the Reagan years ha.

Yep. Yesterday was 23 AN and by itself was enough to raise the month-to-date avg. by 1.3 degrees. I definitely think we can get around that 40 degree mark prior to any end of month cold that may or may not build. Today will be another big + departure, tomorrow's overnight high will lead to another solid + departure, saturday near normal, and then next week I see a string of like 5-10 AN type days. Just no let up. I see nothing overly meaningful in the way of tracking either. Hard to overstate how high my level of disappointment is for this winter. But I fully expect a miserable March/April when we least want it haha.

Is it still the same guy? Been a while since I've gone over there. I'm sure he'll be busy over lunch today ha.

Absolute horseshit of a call at the end of that game. I had no horse in the race but hate to see a great game end in that fashion. Felt very unsatisfying.

Yeah that's why I was saying about taking stock after next week, figured we'd be in better position to evaluate if we can make a run at any monthly records again. The only two February's to ever average over 40 degrees at MDT were in 2017 and 1998, with 1976 and 1954 not far behind. Hey, at least there has been something to track this winter, as sad as it may be haha. Hard to believe it was just 2015 when we had by far our coldest February on record. Good observation on the potential northern extent of the severe next week. Have a great weekend everyone. Three day weekend has arrived whew. I'm about to go make a big batch of orange crushes and margaritas for some friends coming over tonight. Cheers!

The 'ol midnight high is really gonna do a number on us today. For the month, we're already up to 2.5 AN through yesterday. It will be interesting to see where we're at come the end of next week. Outside of the southern Apps event this weekend, none of the global models show a lick of snow through the duration of their runs for the entirety of the MA. This was a winter for the west, simple as that. Onward.

Voyager, you really have stolen winter from us this year, you turkey you.

Soft record. Only fitting she went down in this "winter".

Tell him to stop stealing my thunder! I swear my synopsis is coming, once I'm not completely overrun by kids and work. Let's just say my study has more granular detail so it will still hold some value.

Damn, they really were. He still chimes in on the weather side occasionally, but very rarely.

I wondered the same and have likewise been impressed with his prognostication. With that said, I still miss Horst.

And the Canadian, Ukie, and Euro aren't any better. We are left searching for glimmers of hope in this forgettable winter and yet.......nothing.

Hit 21 on the car thermo through the low-lying rural spots.

It really does. Warm and dry will likely be the norm more than not. You don't need to be a Met professor to know that formula doesn't exactly lend itself to snow ha.

No precip of any type reached the ground here.

I was following the Mt. Washington stuff last night, just fascinating. I’ve always loved the Observatory’s website. Man what an extreme place and what a record to smash. Wow.

All this talk of Mt. Washington, such a fascinating place. Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the observatory up there manned year-round to take weather observations? Man, wouldn't it be something to be up there in the winter; talk about a feeling of isolation.

12z gfs and nam both backdoor the 850 -22 line solidly into lancaster county. Now, if we can just get the winds to slacken a bit and the skies to fully clear we could be onto something. I won't even think to ask for some fresh snow cover, as I know that's a bridge too far ha.