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Mount Joy Snowman

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Everything posted by Mount Joy Snowman

  1. I still thought there were some notable improvements on the Euro, albeit slight. I agree that an advisory type event is most likely at this point, perhaps low-end warning.
  2. Probably true but in her mind the next man to come along is always Mr. Perfect.
  3. Low of 33 and foggy but with no rain yet. The overnight runs were a mixed bag but more bad than good. My fear, and most likely outcome at this point, is that we are too far west to cash in on the best of the coastal and too far east for the best of the upper level trough action. Stuck somewhere in the middle with a showery couple, to perhaps a few, inches. Next 36 hours critical for any hope with the coastal. 12z looms.
  4. Yep, and so did the Canadian. Lord knows we are in that period where the models love to seesaw. Fun times ahead.
  5. 33 and foggy. No rain yet despite some decent radar returns overhead earlier. The 0z suite would be quite a kick in the nuts but nothing we aren’t used to ha.
  6. To me, the Euro got a good bit closer compared to where it's been. I think it's finally starting to see it and will come around in days ahead.
  7. This is getting real fellas. I don't know if I can handle the week ahead ha.
  8. GFS with a nice early transfer then tries to climb the coast. Ya love to see it.
  9. Today marks exactly one month that I've maintained a snowpack. Love it. Also, 12z off to a great start as ICON holds for Sunday storm.
  10. Low of 34. Love hearing that the overnight runs moved in a positive direction. Seems like we’ll have a real storm to track. I mean, we’re basically only five days out already. Big runs the next 48 hours.
  11. Ukie on board with the Miller B type scenario for Sunday. We may have another week of tracking ahead fellas. Buckle up.
  12. I matched you almost to a T. In fact, if you knew how much time I just spent staring at my fully melted down gauge agonizing over whether to put .33 or .34 in the books you'd be disturbed haha. For the record, when factoring in the meniscus I went with .33". I'll see myself out now.
  13. Low of 32 with a nice little coating on most surfaces here. Melting down the gauge but it looks to be at least .3” liquid. Precip wasn’t an issue here, cold air was just a touch slow to arrive. I’m putting .1” snowfall in the books but curious if anyone around me was up ~1-3am to get a proper measurement?
  14. Aaaaand there it is, I can rest easy now, as snow is officially falling at KMJS with a temp of 33. Night all.
  15. mPING reports of snow falling in parts of Berks and Lehigh Counties. That area could actually see a couple inches.
  16. Temp has fallen to 37 here as rainfall has surpassed 1/8". Radar is blossoming as rain picks up in intensity. I'll be damned if I'm going to bed tonight before seeing some flakes fall through the night sky.
  17. Very light rain has broken out here. I think I see a transition to wet snow sometime between ~8-11pm. Putting the O/U at .3". It may not lay on most surfaces, but it will have no problem laying on the pack
  18. Yep. Should still be fun to see the battle this evening as wet flakes try to work their way into the rain. Just as warm air aloft always seems to arrive ahead of schedule, I've often found that the rain to snow backend transition tends to happen quicker than shown as well. If you squint at the 12z suite you can see some ever so slight improvements in this regard. I just want to see some white in the sky at night as I sip an old fashioned. At this point that will be a win in my book ha.
  19. Low of 28. Looks like the lower level warmth will win out with the column too slow to cool to the surface. Perhaps a slushy half inch on the tail end. Then we finally lose our pack this week. MDT and LNS both topped out at 48 yesterday. Onward.
  20. At 18z the HRRR still isn't on board and the NAMs now keep things mostly all rain. Guess we'll find out tomorrow ha.
  21. Haha I was actually going to chime in to say the same, that you are probably juuuust outside of the blue dot.
  22. Yeah it will take some rates for sure but that's what some of the meso's are showing down our way. You are right though, what's being depicted as snowfall on these maps will surely not amount to that much on the ground with the marginal temps in place. Heck, I was scouring through skew-T's earlier and we really would be walking the tight rope through the lower part of the column, with a wet snow and a surface right around freezing. Could be fun though.
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