Mount Joy Snowman

Yeah that was painful to view. I'm just completely lost at this point, can't imagine how professional Mets are feeling haha. I just got off a long call with a buddy who is a big weather guy and we have no idea how things are going to play out. Hope we aren't stuck in the middle of the two features.

The Canadians have never been on board. Not sure what to make of it.

No no, thank you. You're a damn legend. I know I speak for many when I say we appreciate you. Know that your work is always valued.

Beautiful writeup, exquisite. A true professional.

And as I know you've seen, multiple other opportunities over the next week. This winter is not over after this storm. She won't quit.

Do yourselves a favor and put an hourly model, say the 3k NAM, in motion and just watch it to completion. It's poetry in motion. The very reason many of us spend time on this crazy hobby. I love this board and all of you, now let's reel this mother-fu$%er in for the forum. And yes, I've had a couple whiskeys, so be it. We wait all year for nights like these. Cheers fiends!

The NAM again has the entire state of New Jersey over two feet and some central parts above three feet. Looking more and more like our heaviest snows will come during the predawn hours and even perhaps into early Monday morning. The extreme cutoff between MDT and LNS remains rock solid at damn near a foot difference. What a storm we're in for.

I must admit I was not expecting to be at 36 right now. One thing that seems to be coming clearer is that this is likely to extend well into Monday morning and perhaps even start a bit later as far as snow in earnest. Can't see how the schools don't have off Monday. HRRR snowfall below. It's NAM time.

Yep. Mainly just delayed for my area though. Totals roughly the same, still large. That cutoff from here to Harrisburg is something else though and Carlisle is likely on the outside looking in but could cash in on the trough. So much uncertainty across the LSV, makes it fun or miserable depending on your perspective haha.

HRRR through the afternoon tomorrow with much less precip and more rain influence. Not that there was much snow accumulation by that point anyway but something to monitor. Probably just pushing everything back timewise. We'll see.

CTP getting aggressive with that Lanc Co cutoff, as we've seen simulated so often.

0z here we come. Who's with me!?

You ain't kiddin pal....

Often imitated, never duplicated.....the RAP

Haha I know, that's a hilarious map. God bless the NAM.

Welp, I guess we can finally say it, "We got NAM'd!"

HRRR could make a grown man cry, snows through lunchtime on Monday.

An updated map from CTP.....

It really is. We're going to walk the dogs and kids. Nothing better than a beautiful day right before a snowstorm.

This seems like a fairly realistic and doable outcome, one that many of us would be happy with.

Struggle as he alluded to in his post, that being Harrisburg struggling to accumulate during the day with light rates and marginal temps, which I think is a completely fair take. The city can struggle in marginal events with its low-lying location and UHI effects, which is why I was careful to say "Harrisburg proper". I've worked there for 20 years and have seen it firsthand. Lord knows @canderson reminds us of it regularly haha. There is no doubt they could win with nice rates or in the overnight bands but therein lies the question, will they get them? I don't think anybody truly knows but completely agree 3-6" would be a nice event.

Yeah it seems like Harrisburg proper might struggle with this one. All depends on if any of the coastal bands reach out that far through the overnight.

We ride the RAP until it dies, for this day and all our days! Freedom!!! *whispers quietly that the RAP also shifted east*

AIGFS ticked the qpf field back to the east a bit as well.

The Canadian, for as inconsistent as it's been, has been quite consistent in not wanting to bring much snow to our area.