Mount Joy Snowman

My biggest fear is how fast this thing will be swinging through but honestly I think we're locked into a 3-6" type of event for most on here, which is great in my book.

The FV3 (which I believe the NWS puts a good bit of stock in?) loves our area too. Squall game will be strong Saturday afternoon across the NW as well.

Yep 6-8" for all of York and Lancaster. 8am to noon tomorrow could be downright treacherous.

Oh yeah no doubt. This is really turning into quite the potent interaction between the two pieces of energy. Throwing heavy snow back into northern Alabama and all through central Tennessee overnight tonight.

While I don't think the record low of 8 from 1896 is in play for Sunday, I do think we could take down the daily snowfall record for Harrisburg tomorrow, 4.1" in 1959.

Low of 27 here overnight. National high and low of 91 and -36 at Miles City, FL and Grand Lake, CO, respectively, for an impressive national diurnal range of 127 degrees. Welp, things seem to have escalated overnight with respect to tomorrow's events. Who woulda thunk that on March 12 we finally get one to trend our way. Think I'm gonna have to up my amounts to 3-6" for down this way, with a slight potential to boom even beyond that. All I know is this is really throwing a wrench into my plans to drive to Hershey tomorrow morning for the state wrestling championships. Timing couldn't be worse ugh.

I agree. I'm a traditionalist. Call me crazy but I think you should have to field a position to get a crack at the plate, like we all did in little league ha.

Lot of dirty talk in there. Really think you guys up north are gonna make out reeeeeal nice with this one.

Haha wise choice. Spoken like a true veteran.

Yeah I completely agree with your take from yesterday about temps being the primary issue for us. I had multiple periods where the snow was moderate to downright heavy and it just couldn't get any traction on the surfaces, even mulch and decks and whatnot. I never dropped below 35 throughout the event. Over a half inch of QPF producing .1" of accumulated frozen pretty much tells the story haha.

Saturday morning no less. The weather gods are with you on this one Voyager. I'm sitting at a beautiful 43 degrees. Official totals from yesterday are .58" liquid and .1" snow/sleet.

For those who want to really weenie-out, the long range RAP came through nice as well. I know I know ha. Hey, we haven't had many.

Very solid. Canadian just came in very solid as well, better than prior runs. Heck, even the Ukie moved SE, although it's been all over the map ha. Let the optimism flow.

GFS is close to my thoughts on totals, with the hope that it ticks a few notches SE....

We are all weeneis on this Thursday morning. Let's bring her home!

Showing off my low-lying cold here as I dropped to 24 last night, same as THV. Incredibly thick fog this morning (ice fog no less), couldn't even remotely see the Amishman's barn less than 1/8 mile away. Remarkably, it fully burned off by like 9am. Waiting for the precip from yesterday to fully melt but looks like I should come in somewhere around .6". My way-too-early thoughts for LSV Saturday......I think we wake up to a period of heavy rain, followed by a quick transition to a cold wind-driven snow and temperatures plummeting through the 20s throughout the day. Flash freeze in full effect. I'm thinking something like 1-3" for the LSV, 3-6" for the middle parts of the valley, and 6-12" for western and northern tier areas. As others have mentioned, always tricky having the cold chase the precip in these scenarios but this one looks to have real potential, and the needle seems to want to thread just right with the two pieces of energy. I think it was @losetoa6 who mentioned the HRRR doing well lately and I couldn't agree more. I used to ignore that model beyond like 12-18 hours out but it's done a really nice job of picking up on the finer details even at range lately. The 12z HRRR sure looks like it's about to be a flush hit and the 12z NAM just came in very strong as well. This could be the real deal for the forum. In any event, I think we're looking at one heck of a dynamic day of weather with some damaging winds, brutal cold, multiple precip types, and hopefully meaningful accumulating snow for mostly everyone. All aboard!

You know you've been chasing the Black Knights for years

Yes yes my mistake Penn Manor. Solanco is even more vast and unknown to most Lancastrians haha. Good stuff, loving your tales of southern living.

Good stuff. Solanco school district is huge with a varied climate. I recall many times where they'd have delays and no other districts would. They just cover such a vast swath of hilly terrain. You are right most don't realize what it can be like down there.

CTP's PNS says it all for down this way, doesn't even include totals for any counties southeast of Snyder County. On to Saturday.

Haha that's awesome, small world. As I've told you before, my buddy has a cabin up by Gaines and we've always used these cams to check conditions. We don't ride but still like to keep an eye on what's going on up there. You can take pride in knowing your site is used by more than just people in the club. Great work Nut!

This one by chance? I usually use the links off the PA Grand Canyon Snowmobile Club. Sweeden Hill.......

You don't by chance use mPING do you? Northern tier really cashing in with this. Near Cherry Springs......

Well said and agreed. Honestly, I think the simple answer is that it just wasn't our year around these parts. Couldn't thread the needle. I know that's the easy out, but there was snow to be found all around us and ample cold at various times. Just wasn't meant to be. In the eternal motto of the weather fan, there's always next year!

Snow has shut off here and switched over to a mix of light sleet and rain. Temp never dropped below 35. All white on the ground will be disappearing in short order. .1" officially going in the books for this event, which, despite the low expectations, still has to be considered a mild bust around here.