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Everything posted by Mount Joy Snowman
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Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ah yes. I even read that post ha. #MorningBrain -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I know this is not priority at all at the moment haha but I will ask again, did anyone receive measurable precip during the last 24 hours? -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 32 here with a nasty gust front overnight that woke me from my slumber. Looks like LNS had a wind gust of 46mph. Love seeing the models ramp up a bit as we approach game time. This seems like a pretty straight forward event with not a lot of twists to it. We should all wake up to a beautiful scene on Saturday. National high of 84 at Miles City, FL and low of -16 at Cut Bank, MT (I like that name). I'm debating whether to put .01" in the books from yesterday. My auto gauge measured .02" but almost certain that was just a bit of residual snow melt. The manual gauge is frozen but looks to maaaaybe have .01" in it if I squint. Did anyone else get anything measurable yesterday or through the overnight? -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 20 here should help firm up the snowpack a bit. I'm thinking shaded areas can last until Friday night's snow, which by the way, I'm loving the trends on. Snow on snow baby. Let's do it. -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You have no idea how excited I was reading that. Dead serious. I have big problems -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of only 31 here. Should drop much lower tonight. Glad to see the trends are good for a nice little event to kick off the weekend. -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Oh wow. Being right there low along the river certainly doesn’t help — call it the MDT conundrum. My yard still looks pretty good. I just got done shoveling the driveway (WNW facing) and there was about 1-2 inches of heavy wet stuff left on it. I would have let it go for tomorrow’s sun to finish off but have to leave early in the morning and didn’t want to start the day with a face plant ha. -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Just melted down the gauge and total liquid for the event is 1.21", of which the first .5" fell as plain rain. That leaves .71" for my 5.5" of snowfall, which equates to an SLR of 7.75. That's my story and I'm sticking to it. Also, I wanted to mention that I thought the HRRR was an absolute stud with this storm from the time it came within range. It handled the track and evolution pretty darn well, along with the NAM. It also absolutely nailed the rain to snow changeover time, as well as the snow-ending time, and was pretty darn good with totals too. All in all, it just offered up a really good depiction of how the storm played out. Just one man's opinion. -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ukie not yet ready to play ball for Saturday but seems like it may be close.....ish. Hard to tell from my limited view of the maps. -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Lord knows we love the overnight arrival too, don't we. -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
GFS with a much better look and evolution this go'round. What's crazy is we're already under four days until this event. Won't be long until the Meso's are in range ha. Nothing better during the winter than having one event lead into the next. -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Man, I really like the look at the end of the NAM and RGEM runs, to go along with what the Icon is showing. Would be another quick hitter but could be a fun little advisory type event to kick off the weekend. -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That makes sense. Up near Brickerville are ya? I used to fish at Speedwell quite a bit. What's your elevation? -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Okay, that kind of backs up what I was saying about some marginal temp issues perhaps reducing accumulation down this way. I wonder how the southern end did? -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
10am FINAL Obs: Temp up to 35 as snow has tapered off and skies are brightening. An additional half inch brings my storm total to 5.5". It sure seemed like I was under some of the best radar returns for most of the morning but a lot of you did a bit better than me. I'm thinking my marginal temps reduced the efficiency of my accumulation at times. Anyway, very pleased and a stunning scene out there! I will get a liquid measurement a little later and report back. On to Saturday..... -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Heck yeah it is. My visibility is about as low as it's been all morning. It does seem like I'm not accumulating quite as efficiently though, with the temp above freezing and rising. -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
9am Obs: 33/33 with moderate to heavy snow falling. An additional 1.5" brings storm total to 5.0". Visibilities quite low, as a lot of the far-off trees in the neighborhood have disappeared. It will probably pull out of here quickly once we hit the 10 o'clock hour. Just going to enjoy this beautiful scene since it won't last long. Congrats to all! -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Good morning from West Hempfield Township! I believe I switched over to snow ~4am. Currently 32/32 with 3.5” and it is ripping snow. Rip roaring I tell ya! -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
42/40 with a few hundredths of rain as I get ready to hit the hay. I like ~3” of paste for down this way. Accumulation will be very inefficient at times but either way it will be fun to watch some hefty rates. Let’s all get a good night’s rest and reconvene in the morning. It’s always a good day when snow is falling. Night boys! -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MU…. https://x.com/muweather/status/1757181855357366783?s=46&t=yE0m3aiFgMNKsTcNdUT1uw -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
18z RRFS Kuchera......seems like a reasonable depiction...... -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Man oh man, if that is close to the final result CTP's map is going to need some major adjustments. I think this one is really throwing the NWS forecasters for a loop. These southern shifts have been something to behold. Great for those of us down here in Amish land though! -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That is just a really poor map by the Euro for being only 24 hours out. Unless of course it's right, then......gulp. But honestly, I think we have to toss it. With what Bubbler said about the funny business with the Low placement, it is likely struggling with how to handle location and intensity of the precipitation. -
Central PA Winter 23/24
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You aren't kidding. Just had a call with my boss about this. Don't think I'm going into the office tomorrow.
