Mount Joy Snowman

After pouring over approximately 3,749 reports from various sources, I am going with a total snowfall yesterday of 1.2" on .7" liquid. All evidence of said event is gone. I think we're going to end up with the third warmest January on record at MDT. 1932 will be tough to ever beat for warmest, not sure what went down that year ha. National high of 88 at multiple locations in Florida and low of -28 in Angel Fire, NM. Cool beans.

Unfortunately for you, only one of those scenarios represents our prevailing winds

Just took the trash out and there is nary a trace of snow left anywhere in my development. Soooo that was fun while it lasted.

Pouring rain here. Some nice training cells have popped up right over my location.

Well that was a miserable walk in the rain to the train station. Looks like what fell here in Harrisburg will be mostly gone before long. Still nice to see some white. Onward.

Thought snow had ended up here in Harrisburg but it has just started again, looks to be the last hurrah. Buddy and I were being absolutely pelted in the face with blowing snow on the walk back from lunch. I would guess 2 inches up here but have no way of verifying that. Looking like the over/under of one inch for back home will be pretty darn close, just hope there's some left by the time I get there ~5pm.

I'm stuck up here in Harrisburg so keep me posted on what's happening back at home brotha!

Snow has broken out here in downtown Harrisburg and is making for a beautiful scene. Let's get it in while we can. I would love to be pleasantly surprised.

Yuck. But this is the way I see it playing out, unfortunately. I'll be off scouring the models for the next thread-the-needle event that's sure to let us down ha.

Nearly all the short-term guidance is paltry for the southern LSV and frankly, for much of the state in general. Given arrival time and temps, I see a very low impact event today and doubt there are many issues at all on the roadways. Just hoping for a period of some intense white rain to lighten the mood here in Harrisburg. Congrats to those up north, although even there I doubt we see much in the way of impressive totals.

Particularly in a year when there has been little entrenched cold to be found, thus limiting any up-front overrunning potential. As so many have alluded to, we just really need to get out of this long-lasting pattern we've been in where seemingly all major storms want to cut to our west. Until that changes, little else will. But our time will come.....eventually.

presented without comment.... Edit: 3K is even much worse

Yes sorry I meant HRRR. If you squint hard enough it's maybe a pinch better than 12z but Lancaster still basically nill. On the bright side I might get to witness some decent rates in Harrisburg over lunch break.

Looks the same as 12z so far. i.e. not good.

Scanning across the 12z Meso suite and yikes......the fat leading is singing for the LSV. If they are correct, and it sure seems they will be, then this will go down as a pretty big miss for the globals. More disappointment in what is fast becoming a disappointing winter. Here's to a pattern shift shaking things up in the weeks to come, but not holding my breath on anything at this point.

Welp, been pouring over the guidance here this morning and......not good. The concern I brought up yesterday about the initial slug of moisture missing us to the north seems to be coming to fruition. Mesos are a mess, with drylslot and temp issues abound. I'm selling this stock for Lancaster County. I'll stick with my original over/under of an inch at this point but would throw down some serious coin on the under. Good luck to those across the Midstate in line for some stickage. As always, I hope to be wrong.

Haha i love that one, a true classic! But yeah, I’m not getting that warm and fuzzy feeling about the Wednesday potential anymore.

Add the Ukie to the list of 12z runs cutting back totals and moving the boundary north a bit.

The Canadian has also shunted totals and moved them further north. Not loving these trends.

Yeah I'm with ya. However, the tail ends of both the FV3 and the 3k NAM also show that overrunning breaking out a bit too far to our north for my liking. Something to keep an eye on. As of now I'm putting the over/under at an inch for my neck of the woods.

Be lying if I said I wasn't a bit worried about that initial tongue of moisture being too far to our north, have seen it showing up on quite a few models. GFS at 12z has also cut totals a bit for the entire region.

Hang in there big fella! (just a colloquialism, have no idea as to your actual stature haha). I'm genuinely shocked you didn't see more action than that this morning (insert crude joke here). It was legitimately snowing here for multiple hours. Hey, maybe that extra 100' of elevation I gained from my move is finally paying off

Things winding down now but it was a beautiful snow globe of a scene here this morning. Rates were actually pretty solid for quite a while and likely would have amounted to more had marginal temps not made for difficult surface accumulation. As is, a big fat .1" is going in the books. I'll take it and look forward to more on Wednesday.

Actually had some big parachutes falling here for a little while. My two-year old was loving it, raising him right

Snow is flying through the air here in Lancaster. Yes, you heard that correctly.