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Mount Joy Snowman

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Everything posted by Mount Joy Snowman

  1. Mount Joy Snowman
    Windy as all get-out here in Harrisburg with cells popping all around but looks like downtown will be missed.
  2. Mount Joy Snowman
    JNS, it takes one to know one, so tell me, where did you study your Statistics? Mine was at Penn state, where I also tutored Stats courses, but that was many moons ago and I'm losing my touch with every passing year. I've been impressed with your statistical knowledge displayed on this board.
  3. Mount Joy Snowman
    I'm stuck in Harrisburg but my wife sent me a pic of our station reading exactly the same. Today lived up to the hype, and still on the rise in many places.
  4. Mount Joy Snowman
    Wow. 100+ seems like almost a shoo-in at this point for you guys, barring some early cloud or storm development. Impressive.
  5. Mount Joy Snowman
    Yes. I've been hammering this point recently. I'm not sure why but I just know that over the years I've always noticed big differences between PWS DPs and the official stations. Even more so than temp discrepancies.
  6. Mount Joy Snowman
    I was just going to say that I don't think I saw that mentioned anywhere. Kind of snuck up on us. Today's record of 104 is probably out of reach, although the latest HRRR still wants to throw up a 103 at MDT. It's been pretty consistent with that. We shall see. Off to the races.
  7. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of 72 but maybe a touch less humidity. Let’s see how high we can go today.
  8. Mount Joy Snowman
    18z HRRR says both MDT and LNS hit 103 tomorrow. Let's hope that's overdone.
  9. Mount Joy Snowman
    Most of the disparity seems to be driven by the presence of storms, rather than the front pushing through, so I would still lean towards some part of the day getting above 90 if I were a betting man.
  10. Mount Joy Snowman
    For 18z Wednesday at MDT CMC has 84, UK has 89, and Euro 83.
  11. Mount Joy Snowman
    GFS has MDT at 83 at 2pm on Wednesday and 86 at 5pm.
  12. Mount Joy Snowman
    ICON has MDT at 84 at 2pm on Wednesday. Has more precip in the area, with LNS 88 at the same time.
  13. Mount Joy Snowman
    Thanks mate. It really did turn out perfect. One of those rare occasions when everything comes off the grill at the exact same time and cooked just right. #MediumRare I've had one day over an inch during that time span -- 1.12" on June 5.
  14. Mount Joy Snowman
    I've been noticing that as well. Was really hoping Wednesday night was going to come through for us. Should have known better ha.
  15. Mount Joy Snowman
    The 3k NAM does indeed get MDT into the low 90s on Wednesday. As does the FV3.
  16. Mount Joy Snowman
    You're on! First up is the NAM, at 11am Wednesday it has MDT at 86 with the front on the approach. Edit: At 2pm MDT is 88 with the front kind of stalled out. A weak front, at that. 5pm MDT 87 and LNS 90. Would be a close call verbatim.
  17. Mount Joy Snowman
    Haha yeah who knows!? Although, I still had to go through the whole rigmarole of emailing the pic from my phone to my work email and then saving it and then importing it and making sure the file wasn't too large and blah blah blah, so I don't think I'll suddenly become some prolific pic poster ha. Also, the nooner report was only because it was a cloudy/rainy day and I felt comfortable that the report was accurate. Normally I'm too embarrassed to report my midday temp because I know it's like 2-4 degrees too high. All that is to say, maybe I'm not changing after all haha.
  18. Mount Joy Snowman
    It was! See below for a rare MJS pic.....
  19. Mount Joy Snowman
    It may be that your home station is overcooking the dew point numbers by a good bit. A common problem I have found. Didn't you say your DP was above 80 on a few occasions? Seems a bit overdone. And that's to say nothing of any air temp anomalies as well. I know I can't trust my own station during peak solar hours.
  20. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of 72. One day I'll get rain again. Maybe.
  21. Mount Joy Snowman
    NOW!
  22. Mount Joy Snowman
    I’m making ribeyes on the grill later today for the wife and I, along with asparagus and potatoes. Just made some orange crushes for us as well. Off and running over here ha. #SundayFunday
  23. Mount Joy Snowman
    Edit: Latest guidance suggests the storms may form over eastern Lancaster County and move away from us, just out of reach. Would be fitting.
  24. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of 72. The Meso’s seem to think there’s a slight to perhaps decent chance of some storm activity over this way later this afternoon or this evening. Here’s to hoping.
  25. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of 73 with .1” of total rainfall. I’ll take it but it’s mostly another fail. They are adding up.
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