Mount Joy Snowman

23 degrees here and just shy of an inch as light to moderate snowfall seems to be increasing in intensity. What stands out the most to me this morning is that potent band along the route 6 corridor in northern PA. I mean, CTP had basically zero snow forecast for Tioga County. I swear, if those turkeys do better than us with a setup where the main concern was everything being shunted south.....aye. For the record, I do not think they'll score more than us, just surprised to see that on the radar to that extent. Anyway, there's snow falling so happy Monday everyone!

I’m setting the over/under at 3.5” for KMJS. One cool thing here is I still have most of that .8” that fell on Friday. Great retention these last couple days. Snow on top of snow is always a beautiful thing.

Someone asked Elliott if he thought there was a chance for things to come north some more and he said no. He said he is more worried about further ticks to the south given mid and upper level dynamics. Interesting.

They certainly have. We were just hanging with some Hempfield teachers last night and they are fully planning on having a remote day Monday. I always assumed you were in Manheim Central?

Low of 19. So have the foreigners won the war?

For real. I said a couple days ago that I loved where I sat for this storm but that fact also had me terrified haha.

It really is haha. Perhaps throw in the Canadians teaming up with the Euros.

And how about my Molson drinking friend up north?

The short-term guidance is helping to ease my nerves ha. I haven’t been able to check any models today but am I correct in that all the foreign models mostly show a miss to the south?

Low of 26 here and .8” of snow off of .09” liquid. It just looks like winter outside. Man I hope we’re not slowly losing this storm. Don’t get me wrong, I still think us southerners are good for at least a few inches but I’m starting to get that eerie feeling. Next 24 hours crucial.

.8” of snow here and everything looks stunning. Honestly probably a bit more in the fields as they are all solidly covered. A nice appetizer for Monday.

Looks like my call for 2" lollipops will fail to verify, unless I can get someone to report from Mt. Pisgah, Mt. Nebo, Welsh Mt., or the like. Even then, perhaps not ha. Still, a beautiful scene. Any snow is a win in my book, always and forever.

Yep keeps us under the coastal influence well into Monday night. Would be fun verbatim.

NAM looks rock solid to these eyes.

My wife says it's coming down real good at home right now, as a potent little band moves through. Things have mostly stopped up here in Harrisburg as the sky tries to brighten a bit, but still a pretty scene. Seems like Lancaster may make out the best for this little event, which is what much of the hi-res guidance was hinting at.

A beautiful steady snow has broken out here in Harrisburg. I'm off to take a walk in it.

No time like the present Voyager! Also, Tamaqua hammered Schuylkill Haven in wrestling last night sooooooo there's that haha.

12z HRRR has the radar filling in over our area from about 1-4 this afternoon. Let's see who gets lucky.

27 when I left the house. I love where I sit for both today’s event and Monday’s, which is absolutely terrifying haha. I’ll be in Harrisburg today so won’t be able to give real time observations from home. Someone on the southern tier is gettin thumped I’m tellin ya, and by thumped I mean 2” lollipops ha. Could come down quick for a couple hours!

I do think someone on this board receives a nice little thump tomorrow afternoon. Could be highly localized but I have a good feeling about this being a sneaky overperformer for some. I would favor the Bubbler, Cash, Mitch. etc. region but wouldn't rule out us over this way doing well either. Temps in mid 30s could be a minor issue but with dews in the mid 20s things should wet-bulb down to a little below freezing in any heavier bands or showers. I'm looking forward to seeing how it all plays out. These little short-term surprise events are always fun.

Who is this person yinz speak of?

GFS is a very solid evolution. Would please most everyone on this board. A nice 6" type event for most of the LSV.

84 Hr NAM because why not. Solid look.

I ended the year with 40.45" of total QPF, just a couple inches shy of my annual average. I saw an observer near Corry on Cocorahs reported 12" of snow already -- a nice start for them on what should be a prolonged lake effect event. The southern portion of the Tug looks to cash in big as well but what's new there ha.

Low of 32. I look forward to diving into things a bit more today but I know this: 4+ days out from a storm put me on the northern edge rather than the southern edge. I'll take my chances from there any day of the week.