Mount Joy Snowman

Euro with a noticeable shift east. Fat lady is singing with this one, at least for CTP land.

Canadian 12z also a storm for the sharks, and again, Ukie has never been on board. Look for the Euro to cave soon.

I was going to make this exact point, that at this time I'm actually more concerned about the frontal-induced snow showers on Friday not materializing for us more so than the coastal. Prospects seem to be dimming for anything worthwhile Friday as well. Ugh. Oh well, what are you gonna do? Such is this crazy hobby we choose to indulge in ha.

GFS way out to sea. This isn't our storm folks.

Low of 12 here. Trends overnight were.....not good. On the other hand, there seems to be great consensus amongst the models in sending a Low up the Ohio Valley to our west and providing us with quite the rain maker mid to late next week. Granted, still 200+ hours out on that one. Still pulling for that westward shift of the coastal but running out of time. Overall, not a lot to be excited about in the near to medium term.

MU Weather thoughts......

FWIW the Ukie has wanted no part of this storm having a meaningful impact on the interior. Model wars developing.....

GFS a bit NW to these eyes but still not going to get it done. Baby steps.

Not so much as a stray flurry here yesterday, not that I was expecting anything. Friday looks like some extreme morning cold, followed by scattered snow showers from the frontal passage, and then the coastal likely slides off below us. Hoping for some NW trends to bring meaningful precip back into eastern zones of the forum. Wouldn't bet on it but not ruling it out either. Today and tomorrow's runs crucial.

A thing of beauty. Lock it in.

A depressing weekend for this Packers fan, still just kind of numb to everything ha. But anyway, 'twas nice seeing some flakes fly yesterday and actually still have a coating on most surfaces. We'll see if we can't wrangle in this coastal system for this weekend. Not holding my breath but we're due for some friendly model shifts. Starting to see some of those eastern U.S. cold winners coming to fruition that I had mentioned previously. This time it's Philadelphia, NY coming in at -33. Interesting that the national high temp failed to reach 80 yesterday -- 79 near Mecca, CA -- something we don't see too often.

Some nice mood flakeage here. Coating on the deck. #winning

Clayton Lake, ME was the big winner with a low of -36. Wowsers.

Good stuff. CTP has a report of -23 from Smethport in its PNS.

They are always a good spot for extremes. I dropped to 5 last night. It’s a shame I just lost my snowpack or else could have gone lower.

A low of 11 here and a current DP of 0. Should get even colder tonight but it's a shame we just lost our snowpack around these parts. Man, no matter which model you look at, over the course of their entire runs QPF is hard to come by. Agree with others that something will pop for us at some point. Sure hope so because it would be a real shame to waste all this arctic air.

Finished with a whopping tenth of an inch here. Models were actually pretty good with qpf depiction but couldn't peg the cold air arrival time. Surface temps just never allowed for efficient accumulation. Now we prepare for the cold.

Nope, it's sure not ha. Snow moderate here now but only stickage appears to be to my grill cover. Hoping Tuesday brings something worthwhile because it sure looks dry for the foreseeable future. Not overly optimistic.

Just now transitioning to snow here, which is a couple hours later than expected, but already wasted .25 of qpf. Temp at 34 still and all surfaces just wet. The dewpoint of 32 tells the story. We'll see what the next couple of hours bring but anything more than an inch would be a win at this point.

Oh don't worry it wasn't my memory that produced that haha. I had it noted in my spreadsheet that I use to track precip totals.

During the winter of 2017-18, we had 364 consecutive hours below freezing, from 12/25/17 to 1/9/18. MDT set record lows of -2 and -1 on January 1 & 3, respectively. I recorded my lowest ever temp on my home station of -5.2 at 6:38am on January 1.

Topped out at 47 today. Currently sitting at 37/25. Putting my “I’ll be happy with that” total at 2” for tomorrow morning. Good luck to all southerners!

Some disheartening reductions in tomorrow morning's snow on the 12z hi-res models.

Unusually stark differences in the NAM 12k versus 3k with regards to location of snowfall on Wednesday night. The southern edge of the 12k is damn near the northern edge of the 3k. A narrow swath indeed.

Yes this is me quoting myself ha. Anyway, in regards to the cold, I should add that those record-setting days to open the month seem like a long time ago now, as MDT is now nearly a full degree below normal for the month. Not bad considering those first two days were 19 and 17 degrees above average. Should only drop more from here as well. The cold came to play.