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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    If the official observation today ends up being at least 3”, it’ll be just the second December with 4 days of 3+ inches of snow (the other was 1960, which was part of a 76” winter). If we can get to 3.5”, it’ll be the first time we’ve had 4 days of 3.5” on December.
  2. TimB
    As I recall, that wasn’t an entirely lake effect event, that was lake streamers on the back end of a synoptic event that would have otherwise busted badly.
  3. TimB
    Absurd that they just rolled with special weather statements for those areas and never even thought about advisories.
  4. TimB
    Bump. KMQS hit 50.2 on Christmas and even your station got to 49.1. Good thing you didn’t take that bet.
  5. TimB
    Now gone on the midday D2 update.
  6. TimB
    They got their 1/19/19 and I’m all for it.
  7. TimB
    But not for the forum he’s supposed to be in, which isn’t this one either.
  8. TimB
    Still within the realm of possibility if the Euro has the right idea.
  9. TimB
    No model is showing below normal temperatures on Christmas in your backyard. GFS is coldest, with upper 30s to near 40, which is normal. Euro is showing closer to a +10 departure.
  10. TimB
    Well this did the trick. A little joy to close out the week before we torch for Xmas.
  11. TimB
    Now do the 12z euro.
  12. TimB
    And then what happens later in Christmas week? Any shot at a white Christmas in Chester County?
  13. TimB
    Good to see you back! How are you doing health-wise?
  14. TimB
    That crucial tenth of an inch of snowfall recorded at PIT today assures us of double digits for the month of December for the first time since 2020.
  15. TimB
    Lastly, getting a nice little streamer right now and enhancing the deep winter feel. This is perfect.
  16. TimB
    There were some garbage years in the 90s and we still have 96-97, 97-98, 98-99 and 99-00 to replace, none of which were good and only one was even close to the seasonal normals. So yes, we could still get some of it back.
  17. TimB
    Anyway, from the standpoint of not fretting about whether or not our annual snowfall is declining and just enjoying what we have, yesterday’s most recent NWS forecast just before the snow started was pretty much spot on with where totals ended up. It’s rare that totals get boosted before the event and then we hit them almost exactly.
  18. TimB
    The thing I’ll add here, however, is that the new averages will replace the following: 1992-93 (72.1”) with 2022-23 (17.6”) 1993-94 (76.8”) with 2023-24 (16.3”) 1995-96 (74.5”) with this winter (TBD) So that’s 4” off the seasonal normal right there, unless some of the other corresponding winters can outdo their ‘90s counterparts (2021-22 and 2024-25 did by about 10” each, so add back a fraction of an inch).
  19. TimB
    With the 5.0” recorded yesterday, that was the 1372nd day in a row with 5” or less, currently in 2nd place and just 143 days behind the record of 1515 days from 2014-2018.
  20. TimB
    Can’t complain about this event. Probably 5-6” imby.
  21. TimB
    If that final NWS obs comes in at 3.9”, it’s moot what anyone got in their backyard, and the streak will continue.
  22. TimB
    So the 4” streak at PIT should hold?
  23. TimB
    NWS has nudged totals up in Allegheny county with the latest update and added the “heavy at times” wording. Maybe laying the groundwork for a warning?
  24. TimB
    I’d be embarrassed to have my head as far up my ass as you do.
  25. TimB
    Let’s place a friendly bet that the high temp at KMQS (not your improperly sited wx station) is at least 50 on 12/25. If I’m wrong, I won’t interact with your posts again. If I’m right, you’ll accept that AGW is real.
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