TimB
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Everything posted by TimB
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A little curious here, you identify as a “we”?
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@ChescoWxcan you explain why your weather station completely defies diurnal temperature trends and consistently stalls or drops a couple degrees between noon and 1pm, especially on days when getting to 90 is a threat?
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Regardless, we can say with 100% certainty that at least one hourly record (8am) and maybe others were set this morning.
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6am was 81 on that date in 2012, 80 on 6/23/24, and 80 this morning. 7am was 80 in 2012, 80 on 6/23/24, and 81 this morning. So we very likely tied the 7am record less than three weeks ago and broke it today (assuming the 82 at that hour on August 5, 1989 is as invalid as the other readings from that summer).
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I believe that’s an error. I eliminated that day and there was a similar error on the day after as well. Highly unlikely it was in the 90s at 9am.
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I know there’s an ongoing severe outbreak going on in central PA so I hesitate to ask, but just out of curiosity, why on every single day with a chance of 90s does your wx station’s temperature consistently stall or drop a degree or two between noon and 1pm?
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PIT gusted to 47 on the hourly obs and AGC gusted to 48 on the previous hourly obs, so this has verified.
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90 is official.
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I think 90 is a guarantee but there are plenty of clouds upstream associated with convection ahead of a cold front in eastern Ohio, so it’s a race to see how hot we can get before those clouds and the front get here.
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PIT has already reached the high of 87 that the NWS point and click was forecasting.
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And there it is. 83 at PIT at 8am, an all time record for that hour. Also a heat index of 87, which is also the highest on record for 8am.
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As a reminder, the warmest temperature ever observed at Pittsburgh International at 8am is 82. It’s at 82 and rising with a half hour to go.
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We might have to wait for the climate report to be issued on this one, but odds are looking pretty good. Now going on 2 hours of consecutive 5-min obs of 90, though the hourly was 89. Edit: once again hit 91 on the hourly obs, so it’ll be another official one.
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Phoenix’s last below normal day was 5/26…
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All 7 of our 90s this year have been 91 or better. Edit: today’s high will likely be 92, which is the 6th day this year to reach 92 or higher.
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Would be surprised if we didn’t touch 90 at some point in the past hour. Every 5 minute obs since 2:40 has been a rounded 90.
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Calling it on the 8th of the month - a 13th consecutive above normal month is in the bag.
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96/50 doesn’t exist in our climate and this seems to be typical HRRR overmixing. 0z has us at 99/53 on Tuesday.
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Look, the temperature didn’t get to 90 in East Nantmeal for 3 years. There’s totally nothing to be concerned about. Days like Friday where places on both coasts with long periods of record hit all time record highs happen all the time. It’s summer.
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Already could be back in the mid 90s tomorrow and/or Tuesday, with nothing below normal in sight.
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Another 90 in the bag, brings us to 6 on the season. Most since 2020.
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Here’s 1976-2023: 40s in July occurred 9 out of 12 years from 1977-1988 and 14 out of 34 years from 1977-2010, so about once every 2-3 years over that timespan. It’s now been 14 years since we’ve gotten into the 40s in July and I wouldn’t be surprised if none of us see that again in our lifetime.
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Yes, plenty of places got into the lower 50s this morning. But those places were likely also 3-4 degrees colder than the airport in years past when temperatures at the airport got to levels nearly every July that haven’t been reached in July in a decade.
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Looks like PIT bottomed out at 54, so it’s likely we’ll go a 10th straight July without getting to 53 or lower, which is again something that used to happen nearly every July.
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NWS explicitly forecasting a low of 53 at PIT tonight. I’m skeptical we get there, but we haven’t been to 53 or lower in July since 2014 (we got there every July from 1976-2003 and in 52 out of the first 62 Julys observed at the airport through 2014).
