TimB
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Everything posted by TimB
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We might have to wait for the climate report to be issued on this one, but odds are looking pretty good. Now going on 2 hours of consecutive 5-min obs of 90, though the hourly was 89. Edit: once again hit 91 on the hourly obs, so it’ll be another official one.
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Phoenix’s last below normal day was 5/26…
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All 7 of our 90s this year have been 91 or better. Edit: today’s high will likely be 92, which is the 6th day this year to reach 92 or higher.
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Would be surprised if we didn’t touch 90 at some point in the past hour. Every 5 minute obs since 2:40 has been a rounded 90.
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Calling it on the 8th of the month - a 13th consecutive above normal month is in the bag.
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96/50 doesn’t exist in our climate and this seems to be typical HRRR overmixing. 0z has us at 99/53 on Tuesday.
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Look, the temperature didn’t get to 90 in East Nantmeal for 3 years. There’s totally nothing to be concerned about. Days like Friday where places on both coasts with long periods of record hit all time record highs happen all the time. It’s summer.
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Already could be back in the mid 90s tomorrow and/or Tuesday, with nothing below normal in sight.
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Another 90 in the bag, brings us to 6 on the season. Most since 2020.
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Here’s 1976-2023: 40s in July occurred 9 out of 12 years from 1977-1988 and 14 out of 34 years from 1977-2010, so about once every 2-3 years over that timespan. It’s now been 14 years since we’ve gotten into the 40s in July and I wouldn’t be surprised if none of us see that again in our lifetime.
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Yes, plenty of places got into the lower 50s this morning. But those places were likely also 3-4 degrees colder than the airport in years past when temperatures at the airport got to levels nearly every July that haven’t been reached in July in a decade.
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Looks like PIT bottomed out at 54, so it’s likely we’ll go a 10th straight July without getting to 53 or lower, which is again something that used to happen nearly every July.
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NWS explicitly forecasting a low of 53 at PIT tonight. I’m skeptical we get there, but we haven’t been to 53 or lower in July since 2014 (we got there every July from 1976-2003 and in 52 out of the first 62 Julys observed at the airport through 2014).
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Man, that low of 77 this morning would have held and tied the all time record for Pittsburgh International if not for that stupid mid-morning thunderstorm that dropped us to 73.
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One more heatwave stat: it was 81 at PIT at 8am Sunday (didn’t drop below 80 overnight that night). That’s the third warmest 8am temp ever observed at Pittsburgh International, behind 7/17/1988 and 6/29/2012, which were both 82 at 8am.
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Anecdotal, but I feel like we do better on days that are less hyped.
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90 might be in trouble again today. I do think we get there, but still a far cry from historic.
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Take the day off and cool off in East Nantmeal.
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The thing that’s odd is they won’t usually predict a foot of snow 4 days out, so that type of bust doesn’t happen. So it’s odd that they’d predict triple digit heat at the same lead time.
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Pretty impressive if we fall short of 90 when the zone forecast was calling for a high of “near 100” in Allegheny County today as recently as 1pm on Saturday, just 96 hours out.
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High so far at the airport is 87 or 88 despite hitting 84 by 9:40 this morning and having no cold front and zero precip. I wonder if that’s ever happened.
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Interestingly, heat advisory criteria have yet to be met at PIT. Highest heat index so far has been 99.
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Running several degrees ahead of yesterday, but some of that may be a product of a warmer overnight low.
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You’ll never be convinced. Fortunately everyone on this board and most people in real life consider you an idiot.
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Looks like another 94. That’s 2 in a row. We haven’t had 3 days in a row of 94+ in any month since 1995.
