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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. I seem to recall a heat wave in 2016(?) that was hyped with upper 90s in the forecast and then we officially topped out in the low 90s a couple days. But that wasn’t a weeklong gates of hell kind of thing.
  2. 0z operational Euro is completely off the rails and can probably be thrown out, as it shows the heat intensifying into the weekend, with all time record highs being challenged just about everywhere.
  3. iOS app dropped temps a little, with only one day in the mid 90s but I’m not really seeing the data to support that. For one, the EPS ensemble mean is sitting between 94 and 96 at 18z every day from Monday-Saturday.
  4. NWS point and click is up to 95-96-96 at the airport and 98-99-99 downtown for the first three days of the workweek.
  5. If the airport gets to 95 or 96 sometime next week (entirely plausible), it would stand to reason that such a day would have possibly gone down as a 100 in days of yore when observations were downtown.
  6. I don’t believe most of our summer daily records, the vast majority are very old and only a few were set at the airport.
  7. I agree with this, low 90s is not “insanely hot” by any metric, though I do absolutely hate it. That said, I’m craving some interesting weather right now and a 1994-esque June heatwave would do it, but that doesn’t mean I won’t be complaining in real life about how hot it is.
  8. Speaking of, when was the last time we hit 95F at PIT legitimately? 2012? I don’t count September 2018 as the sensor was very obviously reading high during that period.
  9. Yeah, but MDT isn’t Pittsburgh. It hits 95F or more there nearly every summer, and often 100F. It’s hit 100F there in 7 different summers since we last did.
  10. As the week progresses it seems to take on that look, with triple digits in places like Cincinnati and Indianapolis, but of course then you’re 9 days or so out and model skill is lower anyway.
  11. Wouldn’t be shocked if we hit 94 or 95 but upper 90s seems difficult to say the least. There’s a reason we’ve only reached the upper 90s in one of the last 28 years.
  12. I’m hoping for widespread mid to upper 90s next week so you can tell us you topped out at 89.4.
  13. I know the Euro overdoes heat, but it has 97, 94, 99, 96, 98 for the 18z temps Mon-Fri of next week.
  14. Thanks for the reminder about 2004. Only 20 years ago and it’s unfathomable that we could ever go an entire summer without getting above 87, and the entirety of July and August without getting above 86.
  15. The euro’s depiction of this upcoming heatwave is brutal, though it’s still pretty far out. 3 days of highs in the mid to upper 90s and lows in the upper 70s.
  16. Indeed, that is 12 consecutive months. There was that stretch of 18 months from February 2016 through July 2017 above the 1981-2010 normals, but I think a couple of those months are now below the 1991-2020 normals.
  17. To that point, we could get into that extreme heat category as early as next Saturday. Euro and Canadian both have us getting to at least 94 on that day. There are 23 instances in the threaded record of the temperature getting to 94 on or before June 15th, but only two of those were at the airport (6/14/1994 got to 96 in the midst of what is the standard-bearer for mid-June heatwaves in Pittsburgh, and 6/15/1988 got to 94 and I don’t think much more needs to be said about that summer). Still plenty of time for the magnitude and duration of the heat to change, but all indications right now are that full-blown summer is upon us in a week or so.
  18. We’ll see if the upcoming cool period is enough to offset both the above normal first 5 days and the hot period later in week 2 that the ensembles are converging on, or if we get our 12th straight above normal month. If I were a betting man, I’d put money on the latter.
  19. Hell of a way to spin a table that shows 5 of the 6 warmest summers have occurred in the past 14 years.
  20. The official report said 56.6, so it’s a tie for warmest.
  21. It appears our spring average temperature got to 56.7, which puts us in sole possession of first place for warmest spring ever in the threaded record.
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