An early spring would be much more palatable if we actually had winter. All of December, all but one week of January, and all but one evening in February have basically been spring.
Also we’re losing March as a wildcard or a borderline winter month. Assuming this March fails us, that’s 4 out of the last 5 that have had little to no snowfall.
2020: 1.0”
2021: 0.1”
2023: 3.1”
2024: not holding out much hope
January 1977 is ridiculous. It’s 6 degrees colder at Pittsburgh than any other month on record. Not 6 degrees below normal, 6 degrees below the 2nd coldest month on record.
I’m pretty jealous of anyone who got to live through those late 70s winters. All 3 of them. Likely never be a stretch like that again. 13-14 and 14-15 I guess came close, and the 3 solid winters out of 4 in the 90s.
I’m also thinking no. Meanwhile there’s a report from Imperial, a few miles away, of 4”. It’s like the streak just doesn’t want to end or the NWS observer doesn’t want it to.
I would accept a solution that settles somewhere around the 3” that the NWS is calling for. I’d love 4-6, but that seems like an unrealistic expectation.