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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. Yeah, you’re most likely right. It’s just this looks…strange.
  2. NWS point and click and zones still seem wonky, as far as timing, probabilities, amounts, etc.
  3. I would expect at least some rain. Synoptic systems that are 100% snow are nearly impossible here.
  4. I’d like to break our already ridiculous streak of no advisory level snows.
  5. Who knows. There is literally no model or forecast anywhere that shows 17 inches for any location anywhere near here.
  6. Euro improved. Dumps a pretty quick 4-5 inches.
  7. Pittsburgh Regional Transit posted on social media something about “1-17 inches of snow” predicted for parts of our area.
  8. Back in the game on the Ukie, for whatever that’s worth.
  9. And the accumulations are going to be limited by air temps slightly above freezing and warm ground, so we’ll need the heavy rates to verify to even have a prayer.
  10. If this piece of shit turns out to be a mini 1/19/19 I’m done with weather.
  11. Both NAMs look fantastic. The 3k gives a couple hours of 2”/hr rates.
  12. NWS has also introduced a good chunk of the period where snow will mix with rain. But they do mention the HRRR in their forecast discussion.
  13. I wonder if this is just having a better memory of when things went awry vs. when they went right, or more the fact that most snowstorms in PA trend towards climo, which, outside of the mountains, sucks.
  14. The latest GFS suggests that nothing is a distinct possibility.
  15. I know storm 2 is primarily a rain storm but I see our normally conservative NWS rolled it out with a 90% chance of precip from the get go.
  16. That will be melted by afternoon with temps in the mid 30s.
  17. Lol. NWS says it’s 50/50 that we don’t get ANY measurable snow.
  18. Metfan is harmless. I don’t think he was actually trolling.
  19. Par for the course. That’s been in their discussion for at least 24 hours now.
  20. The GFS shows an accurate depiction of how the first storm is going to play out, and the the Euro shows an accurate depiction of how the second storm is going to play out ().
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