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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Different situation. That one increases home field advantage rather than leveling the playing field for a heavy road underdog, so it’s all cool.
  2. TimB
    I just wanted to see snow!
  3. TimB
    So dumb. Play the game the way it was meant to be played.
  4. TimB
    CMC, ICON and UKMET are all fine.
  5. TimB
    HRRR handled the Arctic front in Dec 2022 very well. Looked at it, saw afternoon temps around -5 or -6 or so and dismissed it. Then it happened.
  6. TimB
    RGEM puts down 8” kuchera on its run.
  7. TimB
    On the squalls thing, HRRR is still on steroids with the fropa tomorrow. Drops afternoon temps into the single digits and puts down a quick inch.
  8. TimB
    Yeah we’ll only need 40” in Feb/March to get our seasonal total back to normal.
  9. TimB
    NWS has gone with “snow likely” in both the Tuesday and Friday windows. We’ll see.
  10. TimB
    If there’s not going to be snow on the ground, I’d rather at least have something interesting.
  11. TimB
    Garden variety cold without snow on the ground. Nothing even interesting like -5 in the middle of the afternoon like the Christmas 2022 thing.
  12. TimB
    It’s back on the 6z GFS but yeah, basically either east or gone on the lesser models (ICON, UKMET).
  13. TimB
    That said, the day will come in just 7 short years when last winter replaces 92-93 in the normals and this winter replaces 93-94.
  14. TimB
    I mean logically, no, I don’t believe sub-20” winters have suddenly become the norm when we just had close to 60” a few years ago.
  15. TimB
    Depends how you define bad stretches tbh. If this year ends up being less than 20” like last year, there’s only one time that’s happened back to back (the first 3 winters of the 1930s). So something no one here has lived through.
  16. TimB
    Not saying it would be a shock, just that it’d be a real kick in the nuts. It’s really hard to get a win around here anymore.
  17. TimB
    February isn’t the best month to try and make up ground either, you’re battling climo as normals rise into the 40s by mid month.
  18. TimB
    Pretty strong signal for a ridge beyond day 10. If next week doesn’t pan out we could be in dire straits by the end of January.
  19. TimB
    Meh, GEFS ensemble mean looked horrific. About 3” over the entire 16 days. That’s like 50% of climo for that period.
  20. TimB
    Took the wind right out of my sails. 10 days of mostly cold weather and no snow in sight. It even makes it get above freezing next Thursday without even needing the help of a cutter.
  21. TimB
    GFS, Canadian and ICON all look acceptable for Mon/Tues.
  22. TimB
    Still, it’s slightly skewed by the fact that 2010 happened to be split pretty evenly between two days, which is just bad luck.
  23. TimB
    We just hit 30 years on this streak last week.
  24. TimB
    It’s not going to snow this winter, but that’s affecting me less and less as spring becomes visible ahead of us.
  25. TimB
    Ahoff and I have settled our beef. It might be freeing if you and Rd9108 did the same.
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