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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. I won’t post the tweet, it’s pretty loaded.
  2. At least on here, most are aware that the 300+ maps are relatively meaningless and simply for discussion/entertainment purposes. JB’s audience is presumably much wider and some would surely interpret a 378 hour map as a forecast.
  3. There is a kiss of death for my polar vortex event, however: JB tweeted about it yesterday using the hour 378 map of the operational GFS.
  4. 12z GEFS still showed a deep blue on the 500 anomaly at the end of its range.
  5. Could see grass poking through last night’s snow when I got up this morning, can’t see it now. Win.
  6. GFS has been fairly consistent the last 3 or 4 runs with its depiction of a brutally cold period in that timeframe and the ensembles are showing a notably strong signal for cold considering how far out it is.
  7. I had my doubts on your lake effect mood flakes the other day with the westerly flow but it seems that panned out for us.
  8. Looks like no advisory was the right call. Just a hair under 2” imby, call it 1.9”. Happy to finally see some snow.
  9. This. Would you be motivated on a NWS met’s salary to do the regular parts of your job AND write a several-paragraphs-long summary of your reasoning that (and I think I’m being generous with this estimate) like 5% of the population reads?
  10. Wow, CTP’s is pretty damn solid for something that’s not officially a warning event in any of their area.
  11. Are we counting the part about lake enhancement in the I-80 area tomorrow or not?
  12. They’re busy making sure their area forecast discussions are top-notch. Cut them a break.
  13. Was that the January 2016 storm that pounded the Mid-Atlantic?
  14. It always does when there are p-type concerns, so why wouldn’t it now?
  15. Verbatim there’s a nice little inch or two of bonus snow for some out ahead of that storm. Not saying it’ll happen, but I’d take it.
  16. Nothing like the lows on the Canadian, which seems to pretty much assume perfect radiational cooling conditions basically every night.
  17. Can’t imagine that’ll change at all in the next 15 days.
  18. If it looked a day or two before your trip like you’d end up missing the Blizzard of ‘22, would you cancel?
  19. Looks like winds at the surface and aloft are going to be W to WNW at best on Friday, so that’s an uphill battle.
  20. Now at 329 days without a 2 inch daily snowfall at PIT. If this storm doesn’t produce 2 inches on either Thursday or Friday (not combined), we move into the top 5. Record is 369 from 1/21/1978 through 1/24/1979.
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