I think I’d feel a lot more comfortable with that op GFS look in the 240 range if there weren’t positive 500 height anomalies over virtually the entire CONUS.
I’m now rooting for the GFS. I can live with today’s result, but it would be a tough pill to swallow if the Mid Atlantic got two storms this week and I got nothing.
As a wx fan, it is intriguing to see the way this system evolved from basically nothing in that area in such a short time. I’m with you on that one. Also, you’re right, we had a winter last year while many of them didn’t.