TimB
-
Posts
16,719 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by TimB
-
Well there you have it. The first two years of the period of record were among the least snowy, and the last two years of the period of record have been the warmest. Both are just coincidences, right?
-
It’s not an ideal low track but you know it looks better than anything the EC is going to spit out in a couple hours.
-
Don’t be. There are encouraging signs beyond D10 for cold air and I don’t think we’ve seen that yet this winter so the tide is turning.
-
Well the last 3 days of 2020 all had highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s, and the last 3 days of 1998 all had highs in the 20s and 30s with lows at or below freezing, so you know what that means.
-
It looks like 2021 will conclude without a record low at MDT, though if I recall correctly, there were record cold highs on Memorial Day weekend.
-
MDT still has dates with record highs in the 50s? Every day of the year has reached 60 at least once here.
-
I was hoping it’d be that straightforward and not require me to put in any actual effort.
-
Change the CTP in that link to PBZ: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=pbz&issuedby=PBZ&product=HYD
-
What does CTP’s look like, for reference?
-
I think I tried to find this once and failed but I didn’t look very hard.
-
I’m downtrodden by all of it. Going into Blizz mode and looking for sources of (possibly false) hope.
-
The look at 240 is more like what the EPS is depicting which isn’t a terrible look.
-
The front between extreme warmth and cold is over IL/MO later next week instead of over the Rockies? Edit: and eventually surges east! (Briefly, the ridge looks like it’s going to get its way again.)
-
Just imagine hitting January 13th with less than two inches of snow for the season to date. If the GFS is taken verbatim, that’s what happens. Even 19-20 was better than that.
-
TT loads faster than Pivotal. I’m not up to that miserable part yet.
-
That is good to hear. Personally, I’m considering going to a hypnotist to make me forget I ever cared about weather.
-
About the Jan 2/3 period or about this hobby in general?
-
True. Just a knee-jerk reaction from someone who’s frustrated that we just went through a winter only two years ago that produced similar results under a completely different base state.
-
Is it too much to ask that garbage like this doesn’t show up during a week when it was supposed to be cold just 48 hours ago?
-
So 23% of normal snowfall. Maintaining that pace for the rest of winter would put MDT at 6.8”.
-
It looks like this on Pivotal so you can see my confusion:
-
Now I’m confused, that’s the 12z GFS?
-
12z has been a complete and unmitigated disaster so far. Be thankful for what you got today, that’s basically all anyone gets if the GFS and CMC are right.
-
And after ZERO days with sub-freezing highs, there’s that goddamn ridge right on our doorstep. What does it take to get a decent winter pattern?
-
Yep, parts of Mississippi get what we would consider warning-level snows while we get….nothing.
