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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. Looks like they officially reported 6.7” as of 1pm.
  2. There’s more to the story than simply “getting banned for posting a Euro map”, so I was being facetious.
  3. I know of someone who got banned for posting a Euro map once, if that means anything.
  4. So an advisory level event? Not at all. SLRs would be high so wouldn’t even take a ton of QPF.
  5. I’m now rooting for the GFS. I can live with today’s result, but it would be a tough pill to swallow if the Mid Atlantic got two storms this week and I got nothing.
  6. ^ I’ll go on the record and say that I think that’s impossible.
  7. As a wx fan, it is intriguing to see the way this system evolved from basically nothing in that area in such a short time. I’m with you on that one. Also, you’re right, we had a winter last year while many of them didn’t.
  8. It happens, when the possibility of losing to DCA in season total snowfall, however remote that may be, starts creeping into one’s mind.
  9. Significant southward shift from 0z, that would be another win for the Mid-Atlantic.
  10. Here is the GFS from as recently as 6z Saturday for today’s Mid-Atlantic storm: There’s still time, there’s still hope.
  11. Every 5 min obs at DCA since 9:14 has been heavy snow. Looks like about 3/4” of liquid equivalent since changeover there.
  12. That has been my inclination, but wanted to confirm that it isn’t just my own already well-documented pessimism.
  13. How concerned should we be that the GFS hasn’t picked up on anything with the Thurs/Fri storm less than 4 days from onset?
  14. Yes, gone way too soon. And yes, I know who Karen Carpenter is despite having zero overlap of our time on this earth.
  15. It’s all fun and games until DCA’s season-to-date total is double digits ahead of some of us with better climo. LOL
  16. Need a good second storm if the first one looks anything like that for DCA. I don’t know if I can handle being behind DCA’s season total snowfall for any appreciable amount of time.
  17. One other interesting note: the last time the temp dropped below 14 at MDT was 2/2/2019, which is by far the longest such streak ever at that location. Could that be in jeopardy by the weekend?
  18. The entrance of the full blown trough definitely needs to be slower (like the EC) for the storm timing to work out.
  19. I don’t take the Ukie that seriously except when it’s showing the best news of the current model suite so far.
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