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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    RGEM back to 15”.
  2. TimB
    Mostly I’m trying to keep my own hope alive and pretend it wasn’t a 3rd straight bad run of the NAM.
  3. TimB
    A little sleet between 6z and 9z. Some degree of snow lasting most of Monday. I’d say mostly snow.
  4. TimB
    It isn’t. 9” through the end of the run.
  5. TimB
    Glass half full. The NAM still gets damn near double digits in Pittsburgh. If this is the “worst case scenario”, I’d take the 8” it gives us and run with it.
  6. TimB
    Yes we should worry. Dry slotting for hours has always been on the table. NAM is an extreme scenario but other models have shown it.
  7. TimB
    But that dry slot is kinda big.
  8. TimB
    But it does look better?
  9. TimB
    Only two actually failed and killed people in recent times that I can think of, so that’s a win?
  10. TimB
    All the money this country has and the NAM can only load like it’s running on dial-up?
  11. TimB
    HRRR looks very GFS-like at 48. Maybe a little slower.
  12. TimB
    0z NAM should be out soon to cause more anxiety.
  13. TimB
    I’d prefer not to just yet, and all outlets are still rolling with an all snow forecast so that says something.
  14. TimB
    Saw it somewhere else on this forum but the p-type issues always come further north than modeled.
  15. TimB
    Don’t get me wrong it’s a mess and I don’t have any faith it evolves that way, but by the time precip wraps up Monday afternoon we have 8” of snow.
  16. TimB
    Without question, it’s a trend in the right direction. It was like the only model where Allegheny county wasn’t purple, and no longer holds that distinction.
  17. TimB
    Verbatim it’s actually a quarter inch of zr to 8 inches of snow. No panel has sleet at PIT so that 8” would be snow, right?
  18. TimB
    Hope it doesn’t show a *** of freezing rain again.
  19. TimB
    Noticed things don’t look as deep cold but more garden variety winter cold in that timeframe. Didn’t have time to investigate why, but usually those kinds of changes are brought on by something interesting.
  20. TimB
    Any significance to the change from “snow” to “snow showers” in the zones?
  21. TimB
  22. TimB
    Latest NWS discussion says 7-9 for the metro, with the mention of the possible dry slot decreasing that.
  23. TimB
    GFS still gets us to double digits.
  24. TimB
    That’s the other thing that’s a bit wonky about that run. The dry slot encompasses most of WV at hour 63, then is completely filled in on the next panel?
  25. TimB
    For there to be a winter part 2, there first has to be a winter part 1.
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