TimB
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Everything posted by TimB
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There are 7(!) days on that run out of the first 8 days of July where I don’t get to 70, and a few of them I don’t even get to 60. Again, a high in the 50s in July has occurred once in Pittsburgh. What that run actually does is it sets up that trough, but then reinforces it with a second, stronger trough out of the upper Midwest. But clearly it’s not without rain, so that gets in the way of the 4th. CMC is on board with the trough too.
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Historic Pacific Northwest Heatwave of 2021
TimB replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
At this point, I’ve concluded that Portland, Seattle, etc. will break all time heat records. The question is whether it will only be by a degree or two or by 5-8. -
Then the trough advances enough to rain out the holiday weekend but not enough to suck out the humidity.
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Nah, I’m wrong. Only a handful of the 122 posts that mention it refer to the “pump” in such a way.
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I think Short Pump shows up instead of Richmond for some reason on some NWS maps if I recall correctly as well. And it’s complete with some double entendres that they seem to really enjoy.
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The very last day of the run looks great. The rest of it, well...
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The beautiful trough is there on the GFS but it sits in the wrong location and doesn’t move.
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This is an ugly model run. Even after the ridge moves east, we sit on the bad side of that boundary for days and days.
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As long as the stuff from the Palouse doesn’t get us eventually.
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We’ll see how progressive it is as it approaches the weekend, but so far it’s bringing the pain.
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Also had a February wedding, but thankfully the high on my wedding day was 34. But the outdoor photos were COLD.
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Our lows for 2/22-24 were all in the 50s. That month was our 13th consecutive month above normal (the streak got to 18 before August clocked in below normal).
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Ah, looks like the February 2017 heat wave wasn’t as significant an event for you as it was for us.
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Also the aforementioned 1/22/1906. Normals are currently 36/21. That day was 75/61.
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The 59 ties for a record warm low for February and #2 for met winter, after 1/22/1906 (61). Also, there are days as late as 3/9 with record warm lows in the 40s at PIT and days as late as 4/4 with record warm lows in the 50s.
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I would guess that 1/19/94 (high of -3 and low of -22) would be the only day that might qualify. I think the normals were somewhere around 33/18 at that point, so that looks like a -38 departure from those normals.
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A footnote to that event: Pittsburgh recorded its warmest day ever in meteorological winter with a high of 78 on the 20th and a +37 temp departure (low of 59). Incredible.
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Well the time may be now for me to invest in a weather station and start keeping a spreadsheet. I’d ask my wife to get me one for my birthday but I probably have to enable my own hobby.
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Wait a minute, yinz keep spreadsheets? I’m doing this whole weather enthusiast thing all wrong.
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Yeah agreed, it won’t happen at the airport tomorrow but maybe Sunday and Monday.
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6z GFS was pretty torchy for me.
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That’s a beauty. Won’t even clip the image out of the quote.
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Oh my, that trough is fantastic.
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It ain’t over yet, but it looks like it’s going to kick the ridge out a little faster than the previous run.
