TimB
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Everything posted by TimB
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Every time I think the models can’t make October look any more ridiculous, they run again:
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Overnight lows on the bad side of 60 are the killer.
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I’d have to dig into it at some point. I try not to think about climate change that often because it makes me depressed.
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A new normal where September is 5+ degrees warmer than it was just 30-40 years ago. That’s the part that gets me.
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The only thing I’ll add is that the 1991-2020 September normal at MDT is a full 2 degrees higher than the 1981-2010 September normal, so last year with those stats you’d be talking about a +4.
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The Red Sox sure do have a lot of underachieving seasons for a team spending $200M/year. I can’t say I know what that’s like, but I do know what it’s like to be frustrated with one’s team.
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So a huge pattern flip coming in a week or two?
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Also taking the under, though I think hitting mid-month +5 or more is very attainable.
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+8 Oct?
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Recency bias. Didn’t MDT get shut out this March? Not even a T?
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MDT got...umm...69’d.
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With a team that has a -48 run differential.
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Looks like MDT fell short of 70 yesterday and missed out on tying that consecutive days record, so we’ll just move the goalposts:
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Oh boy...
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Yes, unfortunately it’s over for the Phillies. My condolences. At least you got to see meaningful September baseball. @Itstrainingtimeand I don’t have that luxury.
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They’re not eliminated yet, just need to win 4 in a row, hope the Braves lose 5 in a row, then beat the Braves in a tiebreaker game.
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Relentless with that eastern ridge/western trough pattern. That’s more or less the only pattern that ever exists in Sept/Oct anymore.
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Western PA/Pittsburgh Fall Weather Discussion
TimB replied to Ahoff's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Indeed. Something tells me it won’t be 38 and rainy this afternoon. In fact, depending on how things shake out, it’s still on the table that we could be rolling into mid-October with just two days that didn’t reach 70 (the day of Ida and last Thursday), though I’m guessing we fall short at least once in the upcoming week. -
The Cutch of pitchers. Had a few seasons where he was one of the best in the game then fell off a cliff.
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Yeah, but it’s ancient history. I’m convinced that 2015 wild card game where Jake Arrieta shut us out is the last Pirates playoff game I’ll ever see. So any changes to playoff structure mean nothing to me.
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Would have been nice, you go up against a lights out pitcher and it’s over.
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Like the 2015 Pirates.
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The crazier part is that the team with the second best record in baseball could be one and done. Not that I know what that’s like or anything.
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Them, and St. Louis. Still trying to figure out what to make of them, winning 17 straight and getting rewarded with an away wild-card game against a 100 win team.
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Snow maps result in a lot of disappointment mostly.
